Buffalo Sabres vs Montréal Canadiens

Matchup: Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens (Centre Bell), regular season. Montréal Canadiens record: 2-2-1. Buffalo Sabres record: 2-3-0. MTL last 10 (spanning the 2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons): 3-6-1, 2.6 goals for and 3.7 against per game. BUF last 10 (spanning the 2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons): 4-6-0, 2.9 goals for and 3.9 against per game.

Market: MTL implied 58% to win across 2 books; total 6 goals. SportsFBI model: leans MTL at 57% (market 58% home); expected goals MTL 3.2, BUF 2.8; 30% chance either team wins by 3+. Model factors: Rest advantage -0.69 points toward BUF (Rest days difference 0 (home minus away, capped at 3)); Recent goal differential -0.28 points toward BUF (Last-10 goal differential per game difference -0.10). Injury report: Alex Lyon (BUF) Injured Reserve; Conor Timmins (BUF) Injured Reserve; Florian Xhekaj (MTL) Day-To-Day; Ivan Demidov (MTL) Injured Reserve; Oliver Kapanen (MTL) Injured Reserve.

SportsFBI's model leans MTL at 57%, a provisional estimate rather than a certainty.

• Projected score: MTL 3.2 · BUF 2.8
• 3+ goal margin: 30%

Automated analysis — the full AI preview generates about an hour before puck drop.