New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings

Matchup: New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings (Little Caesars Arena), regular season. Detroit Red Wings record: 1-3-1. New Jersey Devils record: 2-2-0. DET last 10 (spanning the 2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons): 2-5-3, 2.6 goals for and 3.9 against per game. NJD last 10 (spanning the 2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons): 5-5-0, 2.5 goals for and 3.4 against per game.

Market: DET implied 50% to win across 2 books; total 6.5 goals. SportsFBI model: leans NJD at 52% (market 50% home); expected goals DET 3.2, NJD 3.3; 32% chance either team wins by 3+. Model factors: Rest advantage -0.7 points toward NJD (Rest days difference 0 (home minus away, capped at 3)); Recent goal differential -1.29 points toward NJD (Last-10 goal differential per game difference -0.40). Injury report: J.T. Compher (DET) Injured Reserve; Marco Kasper (DET) Injured Reserve; Mason Appleton (DET) Injured Reserve; Connor Brown (NJD) Day-To-Day.

SportsFBI's model leans NJD at 52%, a provisional estimate rather than a certainty.

• Projected score: DET 3.2 · NJD 3.3
• 3+ goal margin: 32%

Automated analysis — the full AI preview generates about an hour before puck drop.