NHL Matchup Intelligence

TOR vs
UTA

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Utah Mammoth

October 13, 2026 Β· 9:00 PM ET Β· Delta Center
TOR 3-2-1  Β·  UTA 4-2-0

Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis

Matchup: Toronto Maple Leafs at Utah Mammoth (Delta Center), regular season. Utah Mammoth record: 4-2-0. Toronto Maple Leafs record: 3-2-1. UTA last 10 (spanning the 2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons): 5-5-0, 3.5 goals for and 3.2 against per game. TOR last 10 (spanning the 2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons): 3-6-1, 3.1 goals for and 3.8 against per game.

Market: UTA implied 58% to win across 2 books; total 6.5 goals. SportsFBI model: leans UTA at 61% (market 58% home); expected goals UTA 3.6, TOR 2.9; 33% chance either team wins by 3+. Model factors: Rest advantage -0.69 points toward TOR (Rest days difference 0 (home minus away, capped at 3)); Recent goal differential +3.27 points toward UTA (Last-10 goal differential per game difference +1.00). Injury report: Chris Tanev (TOR) Injured Reserve; John Tavares (TOR) Day-To-Day; Maveric Lamoureux (UTA) Injured Reserve; Michael Carcone (UTA) Out.

SportsFBI's model leans UTA at 61%, a provisional estimate rather than a certainty.

  • Projected score: UTA 3.6 Β· TOR 2.9
  • 3+ goal margin: 33%

Automated analysis β€” the full AI preview generates about an hour before puck drop.

SportsFBI Model

Projects Utah Mammoth to win β€” 61% confidence
Market agrees (+2.6pp) Expected goals: UTA 3.6 Β· TOR 2.9 3+ goal margin chance: 33%

βš–οΈ Game Edges

Key factors driving this matchup

UTAH Recent goal differential +3.3 Moderate

Last-10 goal differential per game difference +1.00

TORA Rest advantage +0.69 Weak

Rest days difference 0 (home minus away, capped at 3)

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