NHL Matchup Intelligence

COL vs
DAL

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars

October 13, 2026 Β· 8:30 PM ET Β· American Airlines Center
COL 3-2-0  Β·  DAL 2-2-1

Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis

Matchup: Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars (American Airlines Center), regular season. Dallas Stars record: 2-2-1. Colorado Avalanche record: 3-2-0. DAL last 10 (spanning the 2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons): 4-5-1, 2.5 goals for and 2.5 against per game. COL last 10 (spanning the 2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons): 4-6-0, 3.7 goals for and 3.4 against per game.

Market: DAL implied 47% to win across 2 books; total 6 goals. SportsFBI model: leans COL at 54% (market 47% home); expected goals DAL 2.9, COL 3.1; 30% chance either team wins by 3+. Model factors: Rest advantage -0.7 points toward COL (Rest days difference 0 (home minus away, capped at 3)); Recent goal differential -0.96 points toward COL (Last-10 goal differential per game difference -0.30). Injury report: Logan O'Connor (COL) Injured Reserve; Joel Kiviranta (DAL) Out; Matt Duchene (DAL) Injured Reserve; Radek Faksa (DAL) Day-To-Day.

SportsFBI's model leans COL at 54%, a provisional estimate rather than a certainty.

  • Projected score: DAL 2.9 Β· COL 3.1
  • 3+ goal margin: 30%

Automated analysis β€” the full AI preview generates about an hour before puck drop.

SportsFBI Model

Projects Colorado Avalanche to win β€” 54% confidence
Market agrees (-1.7pp) Expected goals: DAL 2.9 Β· COL 3.1 3+ goal margin chance: 30%

βš–οΈ Game Edges

Key factors driving this matchup

COLA Recent goal differential +0.96 Weak

Last-10 goal differential per game difference -0.30

COLA Rest advantage +0.70 Weak

Rest days difference 0 (home minus away, capped at 3)

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