NHL Final Intelligence
New Jersey Devils 2, Colorado Avalanche 5 — Recap
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Game Recap
The Colorado Avalanche defeated the New Jersey Devils 5-2, overcoming an early deficit with a dominant third-period performance. Colorado's offensive pressure was relentless throughout the game, outshooting New Jersey 44-22, a factor the SportsFBI model correctly leaned on with a 60% probability for an Avalanche win.
New Jersey opened the scoring in the first period when Connor Brown found the net at 12:21. The Avalanche, despite the shot advantage, only managed to tie the game in the second period, with Gabriel Landeskog scoring at 10:58, assisted by Jaden Schwartz and Devon Toews. The score remained knotted at 1-1 heading into the final frame.
The third period saw Colorado erupt for four goals to pull away. Nazem Kadri put the Avalanche ahead at 2:45, assisted by Nicolas Roy and Brent Burns, who then set up Parker Kelly's goal just 1:02 later at 3:47, also assisted by Fedor Svechkov. Nathan MacKinnon extended the lead at 12:00, assisted by Artturi Lehkonen and Sam Malinski. Jaden Schwartz then added a fifth Avalanche goal at 12:30, with assists from Sam Malinski and Nazem Kadri. Connor Brown scored his second goal of the night for the Devils at 15:35, assisted by Amadeus Lombardi and Cody Glass, but it was not enough to shift the outcome. Jake Allen made 39 saves on 44 shots for New Jersey, while Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 20 of 22 shots for Colorado. The Avalanche now hold a 6-5-1 record, and the Devils stand at 8-4-0.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Colorado Avalanche (-148, 60% implied) over the New Jersey Devils.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Colorado Avalanche (60% confidence). It gave a 33% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 3 goals.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 12:21 Connor Brown NJD · Shorthanded · wrist shot · NJD 1, COL 0
- P2 10:58 Gabriel Landeskog (Jaden Schwartz, Devon Toews) COL · Power play · snap shot · NJD 1, COL 1
- P3 2:45 Nazem Kadri (Nicolas Roy, Brent Burns) COL · snap shot · NJD 1, COL 2
- P3 3:47 Parker Kelly (Brent Burns, Fedor Svechkov) COL · wrist shot · NJD 1, COL 3
- P3 12:00 Nathan MacKinnon (Artturi Lehkonen, Sam Malinski) COL · snap shot · NJD 1, COL 4
- P3 12:30 Jaden Schwartz (Sam Malinski, Nazem Kadri) COL · snap shot · NJD 1, COL 5
- P3 15:35 Connor Brown (Amadeus Lombardi, Cody Glass) NJD · backhand shot · NJD 2, COL 5
Biggest Period
The Colorado Avalanche scored 4 goals in P3 — the biggest single period of the game.
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22 |
| COL | 10 | 21 | 14 | 45 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 2Goals6% of attempts
- 20Saved63% of attempts
- 10Missed the net31% of attempts
- 5Goals8% of attempts
- 40Saved63% of attempts
- 19Missed the net30% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Brown | R | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:10 |
| Cody Glass | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12:12 |
| Amadeus Lombardi | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:51 |
| Luke Hughes | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23:38 |
| Jack Hughes | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20:37 |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:23 |
| Brett Pesce | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:19 |
| Luke Evangelista | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17:28 |
| Dougie Hamilton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:23 |
| Declan Chisholm | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17:10 |
| Nico Hischier | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16:55 |
| Brenden Dillon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16:53 |
| Jesper Bratt | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16:45 |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:24 |
| Evan Rodrigues | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16:03 |
| Timo Meier | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:06 |
| Anthony Mantha | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:52 |
| Jesper Boqvist | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:54 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | L | 40 | 45 | 88.9 | 5 | 60:00 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 |
| Jaden Schwartz | L | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:53 |
| Sam Malinski | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21:11 |
| Brent Burns | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:49 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19:00 |
| Parker Kelly | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:13 |
| Gabriel Landeskog | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12:29 |
| Devon Toews | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24:42 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18:33 |
| Fedor Svechkov | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:31 |
| Nicolas Roy | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:26 |
| Cale Makar | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25:51 |
| Brett Kulak | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22:42 |
| Martin Necas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19:35 |
| Brock Nelson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:38 |
| Logan O'Connor | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13:39 |
| T.J. Hughes | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:09 |
| Josh Manson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 04:06 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | W | 20 | 22 | 90.9 | 2 | 59:27 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nazem Kadri COL | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 0 | 2 | Over | |
| Jaden Schwartz COL | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Devon Toews COL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 4 | Over | |
| Nathan MacKinnon COL | Points | 1.5 | 1 | Under |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 0 | 2 | Over | |
| Artturi Lehkonen COL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0 | 0 | Push | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Gabriel Landeskog COL | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1 | Under |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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