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MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
BOS

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

July 22, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
BAL 79-82  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 5, BOS 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 71%
Projected Score BOS 5 ยท BAL 3
Blowout Probability 13%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP confirmed BAL, home TBD โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 6.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Recent run diff (+2.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS BAL SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away RHP
Kyle Bradish
Kyle Bradish
ERA4.12
WHIP1.46
FIP4.30
K/98.2
K/BB4.2
Road ERA: 4.93
vs
BOS โ€” Home LHP
Eduardo Rivera
Eduardo Rivera

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Pete Alonso 1B
  3. 3 Gunnar Henderson SS
  4. 4 Tyler O'Neill RF
  5. 5 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B
  6. 6 Dylan Beavers CF
  7. 7 Johnathan Rodriguez DH
  8. 8 Jackson Holliday 2B
  9. 9 Chadwick Tromp C
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Anthony Seigler 2B
  2. 2 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Masataka Yoshida DH
  6. 6 Caleb Durbin 3B
  7. 7 Jarren Duran LF
  8. 8 Andruw Monasterio SS
  9. 9 Carlos Narvaez C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.681 0.709
Bullpen FIP 3.94 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +1.4 +3.4
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL -3.5 (-137)
BOS +3.5 (+105)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+111)
Under 7.5 (-145)
Moneyline
BAL -6700
BOS +1160

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
78 ยท OVER
Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 ยท OVER
Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
74 ยท OVER
Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
71 ยท OVER
BOS โ€” Home
Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
76 ยท UNDER
Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
74 ยท UNDER
Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
73 ยท OVER
Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
72 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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