โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

PIT vs
NYY

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees

July 22, 2026 ยท 7:05 PM ET ยท Yankee Stadium
PIT 82-80  ยท  NYY 93-68

๐Ÿ Final: PIT 0, NYY 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 62%
Projected Score NYY 2 ยท PIT 1
Blowout Probability 8%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYY Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries PIT (Oneil Cruz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 2.47 vs 4.28, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT NYY SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Recent run diff (+1.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT NYY SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PIT โ€” Away RHP
Bubba Chandler
Bubba Chandler
ERA4.62
WHIP1.40
FIP4.11
K/98.2
K/BB3.5
Road ERA: 4.98
vs
NYY โ€” Home LHP
Max Fried
Max Fried
ERA2.80
WHIP0.99
FIP2.59
K/98.3
K/BB5.7
Home ERA: 3.60

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PIT โ€” Away
  1. 1 Nick Gonzales 3B
  2. 1 Jake Mangum CF
  3. 2 Jared Triolo SS
  4. 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
  5. 4 Esmerlyn Valdez RF
  6. 5 Ryan O'Hearn 1B
  7. 6 Marcell Ozuna DH
  8. 7 Brandon Lowe 2B
  9. 8 Rafael Flores Jr. C
  10. 9 Billy Cook CF
NYY โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trent Grisham CF
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  6. 6 Jasson Dominguez RF
  7. 7 Anthony Volpe SS
  8. 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
  9. 9 Ali Sanchez C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PIT Away NYY Home
Team OPS 0.723 0.705
Bullpen FIP 3.99 4.52
Run Diff / 10G +1.8 +0.6
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 1 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PIT +1.5 (+280)
NYY -1.5 (-403)
Total (O/U)
Over 2.5 (+271)
Under 2.5 (-387)
Moneyline
PIT +830
NYY -2200

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PIT โ€” Away
Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 ยท OVER
Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
72 ยท OVER
Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
70 ยท UNDER
Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
70 ยท OVER
NYY โ€” Home
Trent Grisham Trent Grisham CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
78 ยท UNDER
Anthony Volpe Anthony Volpe SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
76 ยท UNDER
Ryan McMahon Ryan McMahon 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
73 ยท OVER
Paul Goldschmidt Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
73 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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