โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
NYY

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

May 4, 2026 ยท 7:05 PM ET ยท Yankee Stadium
BAL 79-82  ยท  NYY 93-68

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 1, NYY 12 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYY 6 ยท BAL 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYY Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 2.17 vs 3.71, PF 1.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY BAL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Defensive edge (dWAR 2.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY K edge vs BAL lineup (11.1 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+5.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL NYY SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away RHP
Shane Baz
Shane Baz
ERA4.11
WHIP1.35
FIP3.52
K/97.7
K/BB4.6
Road ERA: 4.51
vs
NYY โ€” Home RHP
Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler
ERA1.95
WHIP0.92
FIP2.46
K/911.1
K/BB8.9
Home ERA: 3.04

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Gunnar Henderson SS
  2. 2 Adley Rutschman C
  3. 3 Dylan Beavers RF
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo DH
  6. 6 Leody Taveras CF
  7. 7 Colton Cowser LF
  8. 8 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
  9. 9 Blaze Alexander 3B
NYY โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trent Grisham CF
  2. 2 Aaron Judge RF
  3. 3 Cody Bellinger LF
  4. 4 Jasson Dominguez DH
  5. 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  6. 6 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  7. 7 Austin Wells C
  8. 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
  9. 9 Jose Caballero SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away NYY Home
Team OPS 0.713 0.708
Bullpen FIP 3.94 4.52
Run Diff / 10G -2.4 +3.0
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL +4.5 (-142)
NYY -4.5 (+109)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (-105)
Under 8.5 (-123)
Moneyline
BAL +1400
NYY -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away

No data yet.

NYY โ€” Home
Cam Schlittler Cam Schlittler SP
Pitcher Ks
6.5
55 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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