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MLB Matchup Intelligence

BOS vs
BAL

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

April 26, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Oriole Park at Camden Yards
BOS 87-75  ยท  BAL 79-82

๐Ÿ Final: BOS 5, BAL 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BOS 6 ยท BAL 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BAL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.62 vs 3.94) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 6.9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP home venue edge (ERA 3.36 H vs 4.93 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BOS โ€” Away LHP
Connelly Early
Connelly Early
ERA3.33
WHIP1.23
FIP4.26
K/99.0
K/BB5.7
vs
BAL โ€” Home RHP
Kyle Bradish
Kyle Bradish
ERA4.12
WHIP1.46
FIP4.30
K/98.2
K/BB4.2
Home ERA: 3.36

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BOS โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jarren Duran LF
  2. 2 Willson Contreras 1B
  3. 3 Roman Anthony DH
  4. 4 Wilyer Abreu RF
  5. 5 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  6. 6 Marcelo Mayer 2B
  7. 7 Caleb Durbin 3B
  8. 8 Connor Wong C
  9. 9 Andruw Monasterio SS
BAL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Taylor Ward LF
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman DH
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Tyler O'Neill RF
  6. 6 Player #4873205 C
  7. 7 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
  8. 8 Dylan Beavers CF
  9. 9 Blaze Alexander 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BOS Away BAL Home
Team OPS 0.711 0.719
Bullpen FIP 3.55 3.94
Run Diff / 10G -1.1 -1.0
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -3 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BOS -1.5 (-750)
BAL +1.5 (+450)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+423)
Under 8.5 (-690)
Moneyline
BOS -6500
BAL +1160

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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