โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

BOS vs
DET

Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers

May 6, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท Comerica Park
BOS 87-75  ยท  DET 76-86

๐Ÿ Final: BOS 4, DET 0 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BOS 4 ยท DET 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

DET Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.37 vs 5.54) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 5.7) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET K edge vs BOS lineup (10.5 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Recent run diff (+2.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BOS โ€” Away RHP
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
ERA2.72
WHIP1.15
FIP3.38
K/97.9
K/BB5.5
Road ERA: 2.35
vs
DET โ€” Home RHP
Jack Flaherty
Jack Flaherty
ERA4.48
WHIP1.39
FIP3.82
K/910.5
K/BB6.2
Home ERA: 5.25

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BOS โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jarren Duran LF
  2. 2 Willson Contreras 1B
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Trevor Story SS
  5. 5 Masataka Yoshida DH
  6. 6 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  7. 7 Marcelo Mayer 2B
  8. 8 Carlos Narvaez C
  9. 9 Caleb Durbin 3B
DET โ€” Home
  1. 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
  2. 2 Matt Vierling CF
  3. 3 Colt Keith 3B
  4. 4 Riley Greene LF
  5. 5 Dillon Dingler C
  6. 6 Kerry Carpenter RF
  7. 7 Zach McKinstry 2B
  8. 8 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  9. 9 Jace Jung DH

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BOS Away DET Home
Team OPS 0.686 0.719
Bullpen FIP 3.55 4.74
Run Diff / 10G +1.8 -0.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -3 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BOS -3.5 (-265)
DET +3.5 (+195)
Total (O/U)
Over 4.5 (-133)
Under 4.5 (+102)
Moneyline
BOS -10000
DET +1920

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BOS โ€” Away
Sonny Gray Sonny Gray SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
58 ยท OVER
DET โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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