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MLB Matchup Intelligence

CIN vs
CLE

Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians

May 16, 2026 ยท 6:10 PM ET ยท Progressive Field
CIN 75-87  ยท  CLE 85-77

๐Ÿ Final: CIN 4, CLE 7 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Cleveland Guardians
Confidence 72%
Projected Score CLE 7 ยท CIN 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CLE Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Key injuries CIN (Chase Burns) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE SP quality edge (FIP 3.38 vs 5.03, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Defensive edge (dWAR 4.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE K edge vs CIN lineup (12.1 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Recent run diff (+1.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE SP home venue edge (ERA 2.91 H vs 5.13 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CIN โ€” Away RightHP
Chris Paddack
Chris Paddack
ERA6.79
WHIP1.67
FIP4.75
K/96.3
K/BB3.3
vs
CLE โ€” Home RHP
Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
ERA3.76
WHIP1.11
FIP3.38
K/912.1
K/BB9.1
Home ERA: 2.91

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CIN โ€” Away
  1. 1 Dane Myers CF
  2. 2 Elly De La Cruz SS
  3. 3 Sal Stewart 1B
  4. 4 Spencer Steer LF
  5. 5 JJ Bleday DH
  6. 6 Matt McLain 2B
  7. 7 Blake Dunn RF
  8. 8 Jose Trevino C
  9. 9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B
CLE โ€” Home
  1. 1 Daniel Schneemann CF
  2. 2 Jose Ramirez 3B
  3. 3 Chase DeLauter DH
  4. 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
  5. 5 Travis Bazzana 2B
  6. 6 Steven Kwan LF
  7. 7 Angel Martinez RF
  8. 8 Austin Hedges C
  9. 9 Brayan Rocchio SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CIN Away CLE Home
Team OPS 0.686 0.715
Bullpen FIP 5.25 3.99
Run Diff / 10G -0.2 +1.0
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CIN +2.5 (-421)
CLE -2.5 (+291)
Total (O/U)
Over 10.5 (+131)
Under 10.5 (-171)
Moneyline
CIN +1260
CLE -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CIN โ€” Away

No data yet.

CLE โ€” Home
Joey Cantillo Joey Cantillo SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
55 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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