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MLB Matchup Intelligence

CIN vs
CLE

Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Guardians

May 17, 2026 ยท 1:40 PM ET ยท Progressive Field
CIN 75-87  ยท  CLE 85-77

๐Ÿ Final: CIN 3, CLE 10 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Cleveland Guardians
Confidence 72%
Projected Score CLE 6 ยท CIN 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CLE Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Key injuries CIN (Chase Burns) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE SP quality edge (FIP 3.38 vs 6.35, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Defensive edge (dWAR 6.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE K edge vs CIN lineup (12.1 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Recent run diff (+1.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE SP home venue edge (ERA 2.91 H vs 5.13 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CIN โ€” Away RHP
Brady Singer
Brady Singer
ERA5.85
WHIP1.59
FIP5.33
K/97.2
K/BB3.7
Road ERA: 6.89
vs
CLE โ€” Home RHP
Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
ERA3.76
WHIP1.11
FIP3.38
K/912.1
K/BB9.1
Home ERA: 2.91

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CIN โ€” Away
  1. 1 Will Benson RF
  2. 2 Elly De La Cruz SS
  3. 3 JJ Bleday LF
  4. 4 Spencer Steer 1B
  5. 5 Sal Stewart 3B
  6. 6 Nathaniel Lowe DH
  7. 7 Tyler Stephenson C
  8. 8 TJ Friedl CF
  9. 9 Matt McLain 2B
CLE โ€” Home
  1. 1 Daniel Schneemann 3B
  2. 2 Jose Ramirez DH
  3. 3 Chase DeLauter RF
  4. 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
  5. 5 Travis Bazzana 2B
  6. 6 Steven Kwan CF
  7. 7 Angel Martinez LF
  8. 8 Patrick Bailey C
  9. 9 Brayan Rocchio SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CIN Away CLE Home
Team OPS 0.710 0.705
Bullpen FIP 5.25 3.99
Run Diff / 10G -0.4 +1.5
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CIN +3.5 (+153)
CLE -3.5 (-203)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+118)
Under 9.5 (-154)
Moneyline
CIN +1400
CLE -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CIN โ€” Away
Brady Singer Brady Singer SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
57 ยท OVER
CLE โ€” Home
Gavin Williams Gavin Williams SP
Pitcher Ks
7.5
50 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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