โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

CIN vs
TB

Cincinnati Reds vs Tampa Bay Rays

April 22, 2026 ยท 1:10 PM ET ยท Tropicana Field
CIN 75-87  ยท  TB 98-64

๐Ÿ Final: CIN 1, TB 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 72%
Projected Score TB 5 ยท CIN 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TB Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries CIN (Chase Burns) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP quality edge (FIP 4.36 vs 6.44, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 8.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN TB SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

CIN โ€” Away LHP
Brandon Williamson
Brandon Williamson
ERA5.30
WHIP1.46
FIP5.69
K/96.2
K/BB1.0
Road ERA: 3.69
vs
TB โ€” Home RHP
Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez
ERA3.10
WHIP1.09
FIP3.91
K/95.5
K/BB4.2
Home ERA: 3.98

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

CIN โ€” Away
  1. 1 TJ Friedl CF
  2. 2 Matt McLain 2B
  3. 3 Elly De La Cruz SS
  4. 4 Sal Stewart 1B
  5. 5 Eugenio Suarez 3B
  6. 6 Nathaniel Lowe DH
  7. 7 Spencer Steer LF
  8. 8 Will Benson RF
  9. 9 P.J. Higgins C
TB โ€” Home
  1. 1 Yandy Diaz DH
  2. 2 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  3. 3 Junior Caminero 3B
  4. 4 Ryan Vilade RF
  5. 5 Jonny DeLuca CF
  6. 6 Ben Williamson 2B
  7. 7 Chandler Simpson LF
  8. 8 Nick Fortes C
  9. 9 Taylor Walls SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

CIN Away TB Home
Team OPS 0.709 0.728
Bullpen FIP 5.25 4.55
Run Diff / 10G -0.1 -1.5
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
CIN +3.5 (+141)
TB -3.5 (-185)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (-131)
Under 7.5 (+101)
Moneyline
CIN +1240
TB -9000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

CIN โ€” Away

No data yet.

TB โ€” Home
Nick Martinez Nick Martinez SP
Outs
16.5
53 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB