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MLB Matchup Intelligence

COL vs
PHI

Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies

May 9, 2026 ยท 6:05 PM ET ยท Citizens Bank Park
COL 58-104  ยท  PHI 88-74

๐Ÿ Final: COL 3, PHI 9 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 72%
Projected Score PHI 7 ยท COL 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PHI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 4.41 vs 4.60) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Recent run diff (+1.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL PHI SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

COL โ€” Away LHP
Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland
ERA6.65
WHIP1.52
FIP4.94
K/97.2
K/BB5.3
Road ERA: 7.26
vs
PHI โ€” Home RHP
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
ERA4.67
WHIP1.35
FIP4.84
K/99.1
K/BB6.1
Home ERA: 5.72

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

COL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Edouard Julien 2B
  2. 2 Mickey Moniak CF
  3. 3 Hunter Goodman DH
  4. 4 TJ Rumfield 1B
  5. 5 Troy Johnston RF
  6. 6 Willi Castro SS
  7. 7 Jake McCarthy LF
  8. 8 Kyle Karros 3B
  9. 9 Brett Sullivan C
PHI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Adolis Garcia RF
  5. 5 Edmundo Sosa LF
  6. 6 Brandon Marsh CF
  7. 7 J.T. Realmuto C
  8. 8 Alec Bohm 3B
  9. 9 Bryson Stott 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

COL Away PHI Home
Team OPS 0.752 0.719
Bullpen FIP 5.45 4.07
Run Diff / 10G -1.2 +0.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
COL +3.5 (+158)
PHI -3.5 (-210)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (+125)
Under 11.5 (-164)
Moneyline
COL +1520
PHI -10000

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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