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MLB Matchup Intelligence

DET vs
BOS

Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox

April 17, 2026 ยท 7:15 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
DET 76-86  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: DET 0, BOS 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BOS 2 ยท DET 0
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Rest advantage โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET SP quality edge (FIP 3.67 vs 4.17, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET BOS SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 6.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET SP road mastery (ERA 6.23 R vs 9.26 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

DET โ€” Away RHP
Casey Mize
Casey Mize
ERA4.32
WHIP1.23
FIP4.08
K/97.6
K/BB4.9
Road ERA: 6.23
vs
BOS โ€” Home LHP
Ranger Suarez
Ranger Suarez
ERA3.22
WHIP1.19
FIP3.02
K/98.5
K/BB5.7
Home ERA: 3.72

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

DET โ€” Away
  1. 1 Gleyber Torres 2B
  2. 2 Kevin McGonigle SS
  3. 3 Jahmai Jones DH
  4. 4 Dillon Dingler C
  5. 5 Matt Vierling LF
  6. 6 Wenceel Perez RF
  7. 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  8. 8 Hao-Yu Lee 3B
  9. 9 Javier Baez CF
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Roman Anthony DH
  2. 2 Willson Contreras 1B
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Trevor Story SS
  5. 5 Jarren Duran LF
  6. 6 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  7. 7 Marcelo Mayer 2B
  8. 8 Caleb Durbin 3B
  9. 9 Connor Wong C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

DET Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.698 0.706
Bullpen FIP 4.74 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +0.7 +0.8
Days Rest 0 3
Streak -1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
DET -1.5 (+830)
BOS +1.5 (-2200)
Total (O/U)
Over 1.5 (+330)
Under 1.5 (-494)
Moneyline
DET +410
BOS -660

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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