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MLB Matchup Intelligence

DET vs
KC

Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals

May 9, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Kauffman Stadium
DET 76-86  ยท  KC 69-93

๐Ÿ Final: DET 1, KC 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Kansas City Royals
Confidence 72%
Projected Score KC 6 ยท DET 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

KC Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
KC Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET SP quality edge (FIP 3.51 vs 4.22) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET KC SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
KC Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
KC Recent run diff (+0.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
KC SP home venue edge (ERA 2.96 H vs 3.76 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

DET โ€” Away RHP
Burch Smith
Burch Smith
ERA3.18
WHIP1.47
FIP3.51
K/910.6
K/BB6.9
vs
KC โ€” Home RHP
Michael Wacha
Michael Wacha
ERA3.32
WHIP1.11
FIP4.28
K/97.1
K/BB4.7
Home ERA: 2.96

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

DET โ€” Away
  1. 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
  2. 2 Matt Vierling CF
  3. 3 Colt Keith 3B
  4. 4 Riley Greene LF
  5. 5 Dillon Dingler DH
  6. 6 Kerry Carpenter RF
  7. 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  8. 8 Zach McKinstry 2B
  9. 9 Jake Rogers C
KC โ€” Home
  1. 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
  2. 2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS
  3. 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
  4. 4 Salvador Perez DH
  5. 5 Carter Jensen C
  6. 6 Jac Caglianone RF
  7. 7 Lane Thomas LF
  8. 8 Michael Massey 2B
  9. 9 Kyle Isbel CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

DET Away KC Home
Team OPS 0.702 0.731
Bullpen FIP 4.74 5.44
Run Diff / 10G -0.5 +0.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
DET +4.5 (+122)
KC -4.5 (-159)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+110)
Under 8.5 (-143)
Moneyline
DET +1440
KC -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

DET โ€” Away

No data yet.

KC โ€” Home
Michael Wacha Michael Wacha SP
Outs
17.5
58 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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