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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIA vs
NYM

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

August 1, 2026 ยท 4:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
MIA 71-69  ยท  NYM 63-77

๐Ÿ Final: MIA 6, NYM 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 6 ยท MIA 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries MIA (Xavier Edwards) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.50 vs 4.77) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA NYM SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Defensive edge (dWAR 4.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Catcher arm edge (CS% 20pp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+2.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM MIA SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIA โ€” Away RHP
Tyler Phillips
Tyler Phillips
ERA3.43
WHIP1.33
FIP4.40
K/97.4
K/BB3.5
Road ERA: 5.95
vs
NYM โ€” Home LHP
Zac Thornton
ERA2.93
WHIP1.16
FIP3.80
K/96.6
K/BB4.6
Home ERA: 2.98

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIA โ€” Away
  1. 1 Otto Lopez SS
  2. 2 Heriberto Hernandez LF
  3. 3 Liam Hicks C
  4. 4 Xavier Edwards 2B
  5. 5 Leo Jimenez 3B
  6. 6 Kyle Stowers 1B
  7. 7 Javier Sanoja RF
  8. 8 Esteury Ruiz CF
  9. 9 Griffin Conine DH
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 A.J. Ewing CF
  2. 2 Francisco Lindor SS
  3. 3 Bo Bichette DH
  4. 4 Carson Benge RF
  5. 5 Jared Young 1B
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 Brett Baty 3B
  8. 8 Tyrone Taylor LF
  9. 9 Luis Torrens C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIA Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.758 0.715
Bullpen FIP 3.50 4.24
Run Diff / 10G -0.9 +1.5
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIA -3.5 (-211)
NYM +3.5 (+159)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (-151)
Under 8.5 (+116)
Moneyline
MIA -4500
NYM +1260

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIA โ€” Away
Otto Lopez Otto Lopez SS
Singles
0.5
67 ยท OVER
Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja RF
Singles
0.5
66 ยท OVER
Liam Hicks Liam Hicks C
Singles
0.5
63 ยท OVER
NYM โ€” Home
Carson Benge Carson Benge RF
Singles
0.5
74 ยท OVER
Tyrone Taylor Tyrone Taylor LF
Singles
0.5
60 ยท OVER
Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 2B
Singles
0.5
50 ยท OVER
Jared Young Jared Young 1B
Singles
0.5
50 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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