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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIL vs
MIA

Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins

April 17, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
MIL 103-59  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: MIL 7, MIA 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Milwaukee Brewers
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIL 8 ยท MIA 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Rest advantage โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries MIL (Andrew Vaughn, Joey Ortiz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP quality edge (FIP 3.50 vs 4.42) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Defensive edge (dWAR 3.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+0.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIL โ€” Away RHP
Coleman Crow
Coleman Crow
ERA5.30
WHIP1.45
FIP4.42
K/94.9
K/BB2.0
vs
MIA โ€” Home RHP
Janson Junk
Janson Junk
ERA4.22
WHIP1.29
FIP4.04
K/96.5
K/BB4.1
Home ERA: 4.43

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Sal Frelick RF
  2. 2 William Contreras C
  3. 3 Brice Turang 2B
  4. 4 Gary Sanchez DH
  5. 5 Jake Bauers 1B
  6. 6 Luis Rengifo 3B
  7. 7 Garrett Mitchell CF
  8. 8 Greg Jones LF
  9. 9 David Hamilton SS
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jakob Marsee CF
  2. 2 Xavier Edwards 2B
  3. 3 Agustin Ramirez C
  4. 4 Liam Hicks DH
  5. 5 Otto Lopez SS
  6. 6 Owen Caissie RF
  7. 7 Connor Norby 1B
  8. 8 Javier Sanoja LF
  9. 9 Graham Pauley 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIL Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.736 0.726
Bullpen FIP 3.68 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -1.1 -0.3
Days Rest 0 3
Streak 5 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIL -1.5 (-164)
MIA +1.5 (+126)
Total (O/U)
Over 12.5 (+110)
Under 12.5 (-144)
Moneyline
MIL -1140
MIA +588

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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