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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIL vs
STL

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals

May 6, 2026 ยท 1:15 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
MIL 103-59  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: MIL 6, STL 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Milwaukee Brewers
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIL 5 ยท STL 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries MIL (Andrew Vaughn, Joey Ortiz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 4.11 vs 5.51) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL STL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Defensive edge (dWAR 3.7) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL Recent run diff (+0.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIL SP road mastery (ERA 3.99 R vs 7.12 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIL โ€” Away RHP
Brandon Sproat
Brandon Sproat
ERA5.57
WHIP1.44
FIP4.90
K/99.4
K/BB4.5
Road ERA: 3.99
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante
ERA3.83
WHIP1.27
FIP3.63
K/96.1
K/BB3.3
Home ERA: 4.51

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Sal Frelick RF
  2. 1 Garrett Mitchell CF
  3. 2 Jackson Chourio CF
  4. 3 Brice Turang 2B
  5. 4 William Contreras C
  6. 5 Jake Bauers 1B
  7. 6 Andrew Vaughn DH
  8. 7 Tyler Black LF
  9. 8 David Hamilton 3B
  10. 9 Joey Ortiz SS
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Nolan Gorman 3B
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church LF
  8. 8 Pedro Pages C
  9. 9 Victor Scott II CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIL Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.765 0.669
Bullpen FIP 3.68 3.97
Run Diff / 10G +1.9 +1.5
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 5 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIL -4.5 (-128)
STL +4.5 (+101)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+100)
Under 7.5 (-127)
Moneyline
MIL -4000
STL +1040

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIL โ€” Away
Brandon Sproat Brandon Sproat SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
50 ยท UNDER
STL โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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