โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIN vs
CLE

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians

May 9, 2026 ยท 6:10 PM ET ยท Progressive Field
MIN 77-85  ยท  CLE 85-77

๐Ÿ Final: MIN 2, CLE 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Minnesota Twins
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIN 3 ยท CLE 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CLE Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN SP quality edge (FIP 3.30 vs 4.31, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN CLE SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE MIN SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Defensive edge (dWAR 6.7) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Recent run diff (+2.8 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE MIN SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CLE Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIN โ€” Away RHP
Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
ERA3.79
WHIP1.16
FIP3.43
K/99.9
K/BB8.0
Road ERA: 4.74
vs
CLE โ€” Home RHP
Tanner Bibee
Tanner Bibee
ERA4.36
WHIP1.22
FIP4.41
K/97.1
K/BB4.5
Home ERA: 4.55

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIN โ€” Away
  1. 1 Byron Buxton CF
  2. 2 Brooks Lee SS
  3. 3 Trevor Larnach LF
  4. 4 Josh Bell DH
  5. 5 Luke Keaschall 2B
  6. 6 Kody Clemens 1B
  7. 7 Victor Caratini C
  8. 8 Matt Wallner RF
  9. 9 Royce Lewis 3B
CLE โ€” Home
  1. 1 Steven Kwan LF
  2. 2 Chase DeLauter DH
  3. 3 Jose Ramirez 3B
  4. 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
  5. 5 Daniel Schneemann CF
  6. 6 Travis Bazzana 2B
  7. 7 Angel Martinez RF
  8. 8 Austin Hedges C
  9. 9 Brayan Rocchio SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIN Away CLE Home
Team OPS 0.719 0.715
Bullpen FIP 4.18 3.99
Run Diff / 10G -2.1 +0.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIN -1.5 (+1300)
CLE +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+345)
Under 3.5 (-523)
Moneyline
MIN -1140
CLE +591

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB