โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIN vs
NYM

Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets

April 21, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
MIN 77-85  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: MIN 5, NYM 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Minnesota Twins
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIN 6 ยท NYM 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN Key injuries NYM (Jared Young, Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.37 vs 5.00) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Defensive edge (dWAR 2.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN Recent run diff (+5.3 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIN โ€” Away RHP
Simeon Woods Richardson
Simeon Woods Richardson
ERA6.68
WHIP1.76
FIP5.74
K/95.5
K/BB0.4
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Nolan McLean
Nolan McLean
ERA3.16
WHIP1.17
FIP3.34
K/99.7
K/BB6.2
Home ERA: 3.48

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIN โ€” Away
  1. 1 Byron Buxton CF
  2. 2 Trevor Larnach LF
  3. 3 Josh Bell DH
  4. 4 Ryan Jeffers C
  5. 5 Kody Clemens 1B
  6. 6 Luke Keaschall 2B
  7. 7 Matt Wallner RF
  8. 8 Royce Lewis 3B
  9. 9 Brooks Lee SS
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Marcus Semien 2B
  2. 2 Francisco Lindor SS
  3. 3 Luis Robert Jr. CF
  4. 4 Bo Bichette 3B
  5. 5 MJ Melendez DH
  6. 6 Francisco Alvarez C
  7. 7 Brett Baty RF
  8. 8 Mark Vientos 1B
  9. 9 Carson Benge LF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIN Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.739 0.694
Bullpen FIP 4.18 4.39
Run Diff / 10G +1.1 -4.2
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIN -1.5 (-448)
NYM +1.5 (+306)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+288)
Under 8.5 (-416)
Moneyline
MIN -1880
NYM +770

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIN โ€” Away

No data yet.

NYM โ€” Home
Nolan McLean Nolan McLean SP
Outs
17.5
58 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB