โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIN vs
NYM

Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets

April 22, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
MIN 77-85  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: MIN 2, NYM 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 4 ยท MIN 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN SP quality edge (FIP 3.56 vs 3.79) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN Recent run diff (+5.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP home venue edge (ERA 1.20 H vs 7.41 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIN โ€” Away LHP
Connor Prielipp
Connor Prielipp
ERA4.87
WHIP1.29
FIP3.56
K/99.2
K/BB6.0
Road ERA: 5.43
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Clay Holmes
Clay Holmes
ERA3.29
WHIP1.19
FIP3.57
K/96.9
K/BB3.2
Home ERA: 1.20

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIN โ€” Away
  1. 1 Byron Buxton CF
  2. 2 Trevor Larnach LF
  3. 3 Josh Bell DH
  4. 4 Victor Caratini C
  5. 5 Kody Clemens 1B
  6. 6 Luke Keaschall 2B
  7. 7 Matt Wallner RF
  8. 8 Royce Lewis 3B
  9. 9 Brooks Lee SS
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Bo Bichette 3B
  2. 2 Juan Soto DH
  3. 3 Luis Robert Jr. CF
  4. 4 Francisco Lindor SS
  5. 5 Francisco Alvarez C
  6. 6 Mark Vientos 1B
  7. 7 Marcus Semien 2B
  8. 8 Tommy Pham LF
  9. 9 Tyrone Taylor RF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIN Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.719 0.699
Bullpen FIP 4.18 4.39
Run Diff / 10G +1.1 -3.9
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIN -1.5 (+1420)
NYM +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+610)
Under 5.5 (-1220)
Moneyline
MIN +880
NYM -2600

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIN โ€” Away

No data yet.

NYM โ€” Home
Clay Holmes Clay Holmes SP
Outs
16.5
51 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB