โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYM vs
ARI

New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks

May 8, 2026 ยท 9:40 PM ET ยท Chase Field
NYM 74-88  ยท  ARI 86-76

๐Ÿ Final: NYM 3, ARI 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 4 ยท ARI 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

ARI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 2.54 vs 5.03) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 5.9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away RHP
Nolan McLean
Nolan McLean
ERA3.16
WHIP1.17
FIP3.34
K/99.7
K/BB6.2
Road ERA: 3.03
vs
ARI โ€” Home RHP
Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson
ERA4.95
WHIP1.26
FIP5.10
K/96.8
K/BB4.3
Home ERA: 5.06

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYM โ€” Away
  1. 1 Juan Soto LF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 Brett Baty 3B
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 5 Carson Benge CF
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 MJ Melendez RF
  8. 8 Francisco Alvarez DH
  9. 9 Luis Torrens C
ARI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  2. 2 Ketel Marte 2B
  3. 2 Ildemaro Vargas 2B
  4. 3 Corbin Carroll RF
  5. 4 Adrian Del Castillo DH
  6. 5 Nolan Arenado 3B
  7. 6 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
  8. 7 Gabriel Moreno C
  9. 8 Jose Fernandez 1B
  10. 9 Jorge Barrosa CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away ARI Home
Team OPS 0.712 0.700
Bullpen FIP 4.39 3.95
Run Diff / 10G -0.1 -1.5
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM -1.5 (+107)
ARI +1.5 (-139)
Total (O/U)
Over 4.5 (+358)
Under 4.5 (-548)
Moneyline
NYM -10000
ARI +1260

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYM โ€” Away
Nolan McLean Nolan McLean SP
Outs
17.5
60 ยท OVER
ARI โ€” Home

No data yet.

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