โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYM vs
COL

New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies

May 4, 2026 ยท 5:40 PM ET ยท Coors Field
NYM 74-88  ยท  COL 58-104

๐Ÿ Final: NYM 4, COL 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 5 ยท COL 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

COL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott, Jared Young) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 3.36 vs 4.96, PF 1.28) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM COL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away RHP
Huascar Brazoban
Huascar Brazoban
ERA2.96
WHIP1.09
FIP3.70
K/97.5
K/BB3.6
vs
COL โ€” Home RHP
Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano
ERA5.37
WHIP1.31
FIP5.34
K/95.6
K/BB3.5
Home ERA: 5.22

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYM โ€” Away
  1. 1 Juan Soto LF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 MJ Melendez RF
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 5 Brett Baty 3B
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 Carson Benge CF
  8. 8 Francisco Alvarez DH
  9. 9 Luis Torrens C
COL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Mickey Moniak LF
  2. 2 Tyler Freeman DH
  3. 3 TJ Rumfield 1B
  4. 4 Hunter Goodman C
  5. 5 Willi Castro 2B
  6. 6 Jordan Beck RF
  7. 7 Kyle Karros 3B
  8. 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
  9. 9 Brenton Doyle CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away COL Home
Team OPS 0.712 0.709
Bullpen FIP 4.39 5.45
Run Diff / 10G -0.5 -0.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM -1.5 (-387)
COL +1.5 (+271)
Total (O/U)
Over 6.5 (+251)
Under 6.5 (-354)
Moneyline
NYM -4600
COL +860

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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