โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYM vs
PHI

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

July 18, 2026 ยท 3:05 PM ET ยท Citizens Bank Park
NYM 74-88  ยท  PHI 88-74

๐Ÿ Final: NYM 1, PHI 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 59%
Projected Score PHI 6 ยท NYM 4
Blowout Probability 6%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PHI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries NYM (Jared Young, Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 1.99 vs 4.20) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI NYM SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Defensive edge (dWAR 4.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+0.7 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM PHI SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away LHP
Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea
ERA4.78
WHIP1.30
FIP4.23
K/98.6
K/BB6.0
Road ERA: 5.49
vs
PHI โ€” Home LHP
Jesus Luzardo
Jesus Luzardo
ERA2.86
WHIP1.07
FIP2.59
K/911.1
K/BB8.5
Home ERA: 3.69

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYM โ€” Away
  1. 1 Francisco Lindor SS
  2. 2 Juan Soto DH
  3. 3 Bo Bichette 3B
  4. 4 Francisco Alvarez C
  5. 5 Carson Benge RF
  6. 6 Marcus Semien 2B
  7. 7 Tyrone Taylor LF
  8. 8 A.J. Ewing CF
  9. 9 Eric Wagaman 1B
PHI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Alec Bohm 3B
  5. 5 Edmundo Sosa LF
  6. 6 Brandon Marsh RF
  7. 7 J.T. Realmuto C
  8. 8 Derek Hill CF
  9. 9 Bryson Stott 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away PHI Home
Team OPS 0.729 0.734
Bullpen FIP 4.39 4.07
Run Diff / 10G -1.1 -1.8
Days Rest 1 1
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM +4.5 (-101)
PHI -4.5 (-129)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+105)
Under 9.5 (-137)
Moneyline
NYM +1260
PHI -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYM โ€” Away
Carson Benge Carson Benge RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
61 ยท OVER
Juan Soto Juan Soto DH
Singles
0.5
55 ยท OVER
A.J. Ewing A.J. Ewing CF
Singles
0.5
50 ยท OVER
PHI โ€” Home
Trea Turner Trea Turner SS
Singles
0.5
67 ยท OVER
Edmundo Sosa Edmundo Sosa LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
55 ยท OVER
Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 3B
Singles
0.5
54 ยท OVER
Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
50 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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