โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
BOS

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

April 21, 2026 ยท 6:45 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
NYY 93-68  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 4, BOS 0 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYY 4 ยท BOS 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.25 vs 6.20, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 4.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Luis Gil
Luis Gil
ERA4.61
WHIP1.43
FIP6.72
K/95.6
K/BB-0.3
vs
BOS โ€” Home LHP
Connelly Early
Connelly Early
ERA3.33
WHIP1.23
FIP4.26
K/99.0
K/BB5.7

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Amed Rosario 3B
  2. 2 Aaron Judge RF
  3. 3 Ben Rice 1B
  4. 4 Giancarlo Stanton DH
  5. 5 Cody Bellinger CF
  6. 6 Randal Grichuk LF
  7. 7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  8. 8 Jose Caballero SS
  9. 9 Austin Wells C
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Roman Anthony LF
  2. 2 Willson Contreras 1B
  3. 3 Masataka Yoshida DH
  4. 4 Wilyer Abreu RF
  5. 5 Trevor Story SS
  6. 6 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  7. 7 Marcelo Mayer 2B
  8. 8 Caleb Durbin 3B
  9. 9 Carlos Narvaez C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.757 0.698
Bullpen FIP 4.52 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +0.6 +0.6
Days Rest 1 0
Streak 2 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -3.5 (-150)
BOS +3.5 (+115)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+111)
Under 5.5 (-144)
Moneyline
NYY -3800
BOS +1020

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away

No data yet.

BOS โ€” Home
Connelly Early Connelly Early SP
Outs
15.5
50 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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