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MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
BOS

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

April 22, 2026 ยท 6:45 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
NYY 93-68  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 4, BOS 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYY 4 ยท BOS 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 2.71 vs 3.67, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY BOS SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS NYY SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 4.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Recent run diff (+1.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY BOS SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away LHP
Max Fried
Max Fried
ERA2.80
WHIP0.99
FIP2.59
K/98.3
K/BB5.7
Road ERA: 2.38
vs
BOS โ€” Home LHP
Ranger Suarez
Ranger Suarez
ERA3.22
WHIP1.19
FIP3.02
K/98.5
K/BB5.7
Home ERA: 3.72

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  2. 2 Aaron Judge RF
  3. 3 Cody Bellinger CF
  4. 4 Giancarlo Stanton DH
  5. 5 Amed Rosario 3B
  6. 6 Randal Grichuk LF
  7. 7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  8. 8 Jose Caballero SS
  9. 9 Austin Wells C
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  2. 2 Willson Contreras 1B
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Trevor Story SS
  5. 5 Andruw Monasterio DH
  6. 6 Jarren Duran LF
  7. 7 Caleb Durbin 3B
  8. 8 Connor Wong C
  9. 9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.743 0.705
Bullpen FIP 4.52 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +1.1 +0.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -3.5 (-247)
BOS +3.5 (+184)
Total (O/U)
Over 4.5 (-139)
Under 4.5 (+107)
Moneyline
NYY -10000
BOS +1380

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Max Fried Max Fried SP
Pitcher Ks
5.5
51 ยท UNDER
BOS โ€” Home

No data yet.

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