โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
NYM

New York Yankees vs New York Mets

May 15, 2026 ยท 7:15 PM ET ยท Citi Field
NYY 93-68  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 5, NYM 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYY 4 ยท NYM 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 2.45 vs 3.33) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler
ERA1.95
WHIP0.92
FIP2.46
K/911.1
K/BB8.9
Road ERA: 1.18
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Clay Holmes
Clay Holmes
ERA3.29
WHIP1.19
FIP3.57
K/96.9
K/BB3.2
Home ERA: 1.20

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trent Grisham CF
  2. 2 Ben Rice 1B
  3. 3 Aaron Judge RF
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  6. 6 Ryan McMahon 3B
  7. 7 Spencer Jones DH
  8. 8 Anthony Volpe SS
  9. 9 Austin Wells C
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 Juan Soto LF
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 5 MJ Melendez DH
  6. 6 Brett Baty 3B
  7. 7 Marcus Semien 2B
  8. 8 Player #4873604 CF
  9. 9 Luis Torrens C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.734 0.712
Bullpen FIP 4.52 4.39
Run Diff / 10G +0.4 +1.8
Days Rest 1 0
Streak 2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -3.5 (+325)
NYM +3.5 (-484)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+120)
Under 5.5 (-156)
Moneyline
NYY -10000
NYM +1440

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Cam Schlittler Cam Schlittler SP
Pitcher Ks
6.5
56 ยท OVER
NYM โ€” Home
Clay Holmes Clay Holmes SP
Outs
16.5
50 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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