โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
WSH

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

July 11, 2026 ยท 4:05 PM ET ยท Nationals Park
NYY 93-68  ยท  WSH 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 4, WSH 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Yankees
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYY 5 ยท WSH 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

WSH Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 3.03 vs 4.93) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY K edge vs WSH lineup (11.1 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Recent run diff (+1.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP road mastery (ERA 1.18 R vs 3.04 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler
ERA1.95
WHIP0.92
FIP2.46
K/911.1
K/BB8.9
Road ERA: 1.18
vs
WSH โ€” Home LHP
PJ Poulin
PJ Poulin
ERA2.70
WHIP1.31
FIP4.90
K/96.2
K/BB1.0

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Amed Rosario 3B
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Trent Grisham CF
  4. 4 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  5. 5 Cody Bellinger LF
  6. 6 Jasson Dominguez RF
  7. 7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  8. 8 Anthony Volpe SS
  9. 9 Ali Sanchez C
WSH โ€” Home
  1. 1 James Wood RF
  2. 2 Luis Garcia Jr. DH
  3. 3 Curtis Mead 1B
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Daylen Lile LF
  6. 6 Dylan Crews CF
  7. 7 Jorbit Vivas 3B
  8. 8 Drew Millas C
  9. 9 Nasim Nunez 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away WSH Home
Team OPS 0.711 0.724
Bullpen FIP 4.52 5.88
Run Diff / 10G -1.0 +0.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -1.5 (-495)
WSH +1.5 (+331)
Total (O/U)
Over 6.5 (+306)
Under 6.5 (-450)
Moneyline
NYY -8100
WSH +1200

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Ben Rice Ben Rice DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
2.5
74 ยท UNDER
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
Singles
0.5
70 ยท OVER
Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
2.5
69 ยท UNDER
Amed Rosario Amed Rosario 3B
Singles
0.5
60 ยท OVER
WSH โ€” Home
CJ Abrams CJ Abrams SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
2.5
60 ยท UNDER
James Wood James Wood RF
Singles
0.5
59 ยท OVER
Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
2.5
56 ยท UNDER
Dylan Crews Dylan Crews CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
2.5
51 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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