โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
WSH

New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals

July 12, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Nationals Park
NYY 93-68  ยท  WSH 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 5, WSH 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Washington Nationals
Confidence 65%
Projected Score WSH 5 ยท NYY 4
Blowout Probability 10%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

WSH Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH SP quality edge (FIP 3.02 vs 4.97) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Defensive edge (dWAR 2.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH K edge vs NYY lineup (10.6 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Recent run diff (+0.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Will Warren
Will Warren
ERA3.92
WHIP1.36
FIP3.86
K/99.1
K/BB6.0
Road ERA: 4.49
vs
WSH โ€” Home RHP
Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli
ERA3.02
WHIP1.16
FIP2.97
K/910.6
K/BB8.1
Home ERA: 3.29

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trent Grisham CF
  2. 2 Ben Rice 1B
  3. 3 Jasson Dominguez DH
  4. 4 Cody Bellinger LF
  5. 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  6. 6 Jose Caballero SS
  7. 7 Ryan McMahon 3B
  8. 8 Austin Wells C
  9. 9 Max Schuemann RF
WSH โ€” Home
  1. 1 James Wood RF
  2. 2 Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
  3. 3 Abimelec Ortiz DH
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Dylan Crews CF
  6. 6 Daylen Lile LF
  7. 7 Jose Tena 2B
  8. 8 Jorbit Vivas 3B
  9. 9 Keibert Ruiz C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away WSH Home
Team OPS 0.703 0.733
Bullpen FIP 4.52 5.88
Run Diff / 10G -0.2 +0.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -1.5 (-990)
WSH +1.5 (+542)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+514)
Under 8.5 (-910)
Moneyline
NYY -10000
WSH +1320

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
79 ยท OVER
Ben Rice Ben Rice 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
79 ยท OVER
Trent Grisham Trent Grisham CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
75 ยท UNDER
Jose Caballero Jose Caballero SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
74 ยท UNDER
WSH โ€” Home
Daylen Lile Daylen Lile LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
1.5
78 ยท UNDER
Jose Tena Jose Tena 2B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
3.5
66 ยท UNDER
Abimelec Ortiz Abimelec Ortiz DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
3.5
58 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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