MLB Final Intelligence
Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds β Recap
July 12, 2026 Β· Great American Ball Park Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Chicago Cubs, entering the game with a 60-46 record and favored to win, lived up to expectations against the 49-55 Cincinnati Reds, securing an 8-4 victory. The Cubs wasted no time asserting themselves on the scoreboard, as Alex Bregman doubled to center in the very first inning, bringing home Crow-Armstrong. Shortly after, Busch doubled to right, allowing Bregman to score and giving Chicago an early 2-0 advantage, setting the stage for what would be a back-and-forth affair.
However, Cincinnati quickly demonstrated their resilience, staging a formidable comeback in the third inning. De La Cruz scored on a Steer ground out, narrowing the gap. The Reds then tied the game when Bleday singled to left, plating Stewart. The momentum fully shifted when SuΓ‘rez launched a commanding 433-foot home run to left, scoring Bleday and giving the Reds a sudden 4-2 lead. But the Cubs were not to be outdone, responding swiftly in the top of the fourth inning as AlcΓ‘ntara singled to center, bringing home both Busch and Kelly to knot the game once more at 4-4.
After several quiet frames, the game's decisive moment arrived in the seventh inning, as the Cubs broke the stalemate with a four-run explosion that proved to be the turning point. Crow-Armstrongβs single to right scored Swanson, nudging Chicago ahead 5-4. The damage didn't stop there; Alex Bregman then stepped up and crushed a 387-foot home run to left-center, driving in Crow-Armstrong and Suzuki, effectively extending the Cubs' lead to a commanding 8-4.
Bregman's performance was certainly a highlight, as he led all hitters with 3 hits, including his crucial home run, 4 RBI, and 2 runs scored. On the mound, Cubs pitcher Matthew Boyd pitched 6.1 innings, striking out 3 and allowing all 4 of the Reds' earned runs, navigating through the early scoring flurry to keep his team in a position to win. Ultimately, the Chicago Cubs displayed their mettle, overcoming an early deficit and a mid-game tie to pull away decisively in the late innings, solidifying their position in the standings.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Chicago Cubs (-131, 54% implied) over the Cincinnati Reds. Final: the Chicago Cubs won 8β4.
Player of the Game
Turning Point
The game turned in the 7th inning, when the Chicago Cubs scored 4 runs.
Pitching
| Pitcher | Team | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd W |
|
6.1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4.50 |
| Andrew Abbott |
|
4.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4.11 |
| Chase Petty L |
|
2.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4.38 |
| Rhett Lowder |
|
2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4.91 |
| Gavin Hollowell |
|
1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2.79 |
| Jacob Webb S |
|
0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.05 |
| Pierce Johnson |
|
0.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.23 |
| Caleb Thielbar |
|
0.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.23 |
| Sam Moll |
|
0.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4.19 |
Batting
| Batter | Team | AB | H | HR | RBI | R | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman |
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Busch |
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Spencer Steer |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eugenio Suarez |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Kevin Alcantara |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| JJ Bleday |
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Dansby Swanson |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Seiya Suzuki |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Edwin Arroyo |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elly De La Cruz |
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Noelvi Marte |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sal Stewart |
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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