โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
DET

Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers

July 11, 2026 ยท 6:10 PM ET ยท Comerica Park
PHI 88-74  ยท  DET 76-86

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 4, DET 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Detroit Tigers
Confidence 62%
Projected Score DET 4 ยท PHI 3
Blowout Probability 8%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

DET Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET SP quality edge (FIP 3.52 vs 4.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET PHI SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Defensive edge (dWAR 6.9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI K edge vs DET lineup (10.0 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Recent run diff (+4.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away LHP
Cristopher Sanchez
Cristopher Sanchez
ERA2.91
WHIP1.20
FIP2.71
K/910.0
K/BB8.1
Road ERA: 3.94
vs
DET โ€” Home RHP
Casey Mize
Casey Mize
ERA4.32
WHIP1.23
FIP4.08
K/97.6
K/BB4.9
Home ERA: 9.26

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Brandon Marsh LF
  5. 5 Alec Bohm 3B
  6. 6 Bryson Stott 2B
  7. 7 J.T. Realmuto C
  8. 8 Gabriel Rincones Jr. RF
  9. 9 Derek Hill CF
DET โ€” Home
  1. 1 Matt Vierling CF
  2. 2 Kevin McGonigle 3B
  3. 3 Dillon Dingler DH
  4. 4 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  5. 5 Riley Greene LF
  6. 6 Eduardo Valencia C
  7. 7 Hao-Yu Lee 2B
  8. 8 Ben Malgeri RF
  9. 9 Zach McKinstry SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away DET Home
Team OPS 0.709 0.763
Bullpen FIP 4.07 4.74
Run Diff / 10G -1.5 +3.4
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI -1.5 (-564)
DET +1.5 (+366)
Total (O/U)
Over 6.5 (+338)
Under 6.5 (-508)
Moneyline
PHI -4300
DET +1040

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 3 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PHI โ€” Away
Trea Turner Trea Turner SS
Singles
0.5
62 ยท OVER
Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 3B
Singles
0.5
51 ยท OVER
Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 1B
Singles
0.5
50 ยท OVER
DET โ€” Home
Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 3B
Singles
0.5
55 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB