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MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
MIA

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

May 1, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
PHI 88-74  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 6, MIA 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 72%
Projected Score PHI 7 ยท MIA 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 3.58 vs 4.34) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI MIA SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA PHI SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Defensive edge (dWAR 3.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+1.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP home venue edge (ERA 3.10 H vs 4.95 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away RHP
Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler
ERA3.00
WHIP1.05
FIP3.27
K/910.7
K/BB8.1
Road ERA: 3.10
vs
MIA โ€” Home RHP
Eury Perez
Eury Perez
ERA3.91
WHIP1.21
FIP3.88
K/99.6
K/BB5.8
Home ERA: 3.10

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Kyle Schwarber DH
  2. 2 Bryce Harper 1B
  3. 3 Adolis Garcia RF
  4. 4 Brandon Marsh LF
  5. 5 Edmundo Sosa SS
  6. 6 Bryson Stott 2B
  7. 7 Alec Bohm 3B
  8. 8 Justin Crawford CF
  9. 9 Rafael Marchan C
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jakob Marsee CF
  2. 2 Kyle Stowers LF
  3. 3 Otto Lopez SS
  4. 4 Xavier Edwards 2B
  5. 5 Liam Hicks C
  6. 6 Agustin Ramirez DH
  7. 7 Owen Caissie RF
  8. 8 Christopher Morel 1B
  9. 9 Javier Sanoja 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.683 0.717
Bullpen FIP 4.07 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -0.7 +0.4
Days Rest 0 1
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI -1.5 (-426)
MIA +1.5 (+293)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (+466)
Under 11.5 (-790)
Moneyline
PHI -1720
MIA +730

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PHI โ€” Away
Zack Wheeler Zack Wheeler SP
Pitcher Ks
5.5
57 ยท OVER
MIA โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

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