โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
MIA

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

May 3, 2026 ยท 1:40 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
PHI 88-74  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 7, MIA 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 72%
Projected Score PHI 7 ยท MIA 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 2.41 vs 5.12) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Defensive edge (dWAR 4.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+0.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP road mastery (ERA 1.83 R vs 3.69 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away LHP
Jesus Luzardo
Jesus Luzardo
ERA2.86
WHIP1.07
FIP2.59
K/911.1
K/BB8.5
Road ERA: 1.83
vs
MIA โ€” Home RightHP
Chris Paddack
Chris Paddack
ERA6.79
WHIP1.67
FIP4.75
K/96.3
K/BB3.3

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Alec Bohm 3B
  5. 5 Brandon Marsh RF
  6. 6 J.T. Realmuto C
  7. 7 Bryson Stott 2B
  8. 8 Felix Reyes LF
  9. 9 Justin Crawford CF
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Otto Lopez SS
  2. 2 Agustin Ramirez C
  3. 3 Kyle Stowers RF
  4. 4 Connor Norby 1B
  5. 5 Xavier Edwards 2B
  6. 6 Christopher Morel DH
  7. 7 Leo Jimenez 3B
  8. 8 Esteury Ruiz CF
  9. 9 Javier Sanoja LF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.727 0.692
Bullpen FIP 4.07 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -0.3 +0.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI -4.5 (-115)
MIA +4.5 (-113)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (+102)
Under 11.5 (-132)
Moneyline
PHI -6200
MIA +1140

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PHI โ€” Away
Jesus Luzardo Jesus Luzardo SP
Pitcher Ks
6.5
55 ยท OVER
MIA โ€” Home

No data yet.

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