โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
NYM

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

June 26, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Citi Field
PHI 88-74  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 2, NYM 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 69%
Projected Score PHI 3 ยท NYM 1
Blowout Probability 12%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 4.09 vs 4.41) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM PHI SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Defensive edge (dWAR 6.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Recent run diff (+6.3 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI NYM SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away RHP
Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler
ERA3.00
WHIP1.05
FIP3.27
K/910.7
K/BB8.1
Road ERA: 3.10
vs
NYM โ€” Home LHP
Zac Thornton
ERA3.42
WHIP1.14
FIP4.41
K/96.7
K/BB4.8
Home ERA: 3.76

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Alec Bohm 3B
  5. 5 Brandon Marsh RF
  6. 6 Derek Hill CF
  7. 7 J.T. Realmuto C
  8. 8 Bryson Stott 2B
  9. 9 Edmundo Sosa LF
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Juan Soto LF
  3. 3 Bo Bichette DH
  4. 4 Francisco Lindor SS
  5. 5 Jared Young 1B
  6. 6 A.J. Ewing CF
  7. 7 Ronny Mauricio 2B
  8. 8 Brett Baty 3B
  9. 9 Luis Torrens C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.734 0.739
Bullpen FIP 4.07 4.39
Run Diff / 10G +2.7 -3.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI -1.5 (+1280)
NYM +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+587)
Under 3.5 (-1140)
Moneyline
PHI -2800
NYM +840

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PHI โ€” Away
Derek Hill Derek Hill CF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
77 ยท OVER
Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
76 ยท OVER
Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
74 ยท OVER
Edmundo Sosa Edmundo Sosa LF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
74 ยท OVER
NYM โ€” Home
Bo Bichette Bo Bichette DH
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
71 ยท OVER
Carson Benge Carson Benge RF
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
69 ยท OVER
Brett Baty Brett Baty 3B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
67 ยท OVER
Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor SS
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
66 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB