โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

STL vs
MIA

St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins

April 21, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
STL 77-85  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: STL 5, MIA 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 72%
Projected Score STL 6 ยท MIA 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 4.82 vs 5.65) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Defensive edge (dWAR 4.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+0.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP road mastery (ERA 3.87 R vs 5.12 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

STL โ€” Away RHP
Dustin May
Dustin May
ERA4.70
WHIP1.32
FIP3.40
K/98.9
K/BB5.8
Road ERA: 3.87
vs
MIA โ€” Home RightHP
Chris Paddack
Chris Paddack
ERA6.79
WHIP1.67
FIP4.75
K/96.3
K/BB3.3

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

STL โ€” Away
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Nolan Gorman 3B
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church LF
  8. 8 Pedro Pages C
  9. 9 Victor Scott II CF
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jakob Marsee CF
  2. 2 Kyle Stowers LF
  3. 3 Otto Lopez SS
  4. 4 Xavier Edwards 2B
  5. 5 Liam Hicks C
  6. 6 Agustin Ramirez DH
  7. 7 Owen Caissie RF
  8. 8 Graham Pauley 3B
  9. 9 Connor Norby 1B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

STL Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.669 0.726
Bullpen FIP 3.97 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -0.4 +0.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -4 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
STL -1.5 (-1440)
MIA +1.5 (+670)
Total (O/U)
Over 8.5 (+610)
Under 8.5 (-1220)
Moneyline
STL -10000
MIA +1380

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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