โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

STL vs
MIA

St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins

April 22, 2026 ยท 12:10 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
STL 77-85  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: STL 1, MIA 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Miami Marlins
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIA 4 ยท STL 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP quality edge (FIP 3.69 vs 4.38) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Defensive edge (dWAR 2.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

STL โ€” Away RHP
Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy
ERA3.66
WHIP1.34
FIP3.49
K/98.5
K/BB5.9
Road ERA: 4.00
vs
MIA โ€” Home RHP
Janson Junk
Janson Junk
ERA4.22
WHIP1.29
FIP4.04
K/96.5
K/BB4.1
Home ERA: 4.43

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

STL โ€” Away
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Nolan Gorman 3B
  4. 4 Ramon Urias 1B
  5. 5 Jose Fermin LF
  6. 6 Nathan Church RF
  7. 7 Thomas Saggese SS
  8. 8 Pedro Pages C
  9. 9 Victor Scott II CF
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jakob Marsee CF
  2. 2 Xavier Edwards DH
  3. 3 Otto Lopez SS
  4. 4 Liam Hicks 1B
  5. 5 Agustin Ramirez C
  6. 6 Heriberto Hernandez LF
  7. 7 Owen Caissie RF
  8. 8 Leo Jimenez 2B
  9. 9 Javier Sanoja 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

STL Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.627 0.723
Bullpen FIP 3.97 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -0.3 -0.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -4 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
STL +2.5 (+159)
MIA -2.5 (-211)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+158)
Under 5.5 (-209)
Moneyline
STL +1060
MIA -4600

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

STL โ€” Away
Kyle Leahy Kyle Leahy SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
52 ยท OVER
MIA โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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