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MLB Matchup Intelligence

STL vs
SD

St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego Padres

May 8, 2026 ยท 9:45 PM ET ยท Petco Park
STL 77-85  ยท  SD 91-71

๐Ÿ Final: STL 6, SD 0 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 72%
Projected Score STL 6 ยท SD 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

SD Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries SD (Casey Mize) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 4.02 vs 4.59, PF 0.91) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD STL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SD Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Recent run diff (+2.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

STL โ€” Away RHP
Michael McGreevy
Michael McGreevy
ERA3.95
WHIP1.28
FIP4.21
K/96.2
K/BB3.6
Road ERA: 4.12
vs
SD โ€” Home RHP
Griffin Canning
Griffin Canning
ERA5.68
WHIP1.52
FIP4.59
K/98.9
K/BB4.7

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

STL โ€” Away
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera C
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Nolan Gorman DH
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church LF
  8. 8 Cesar Prieto 3B
  9. 9 Victor Scott II CF
SD โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jackson Merrill CF
  2. 2 Xander Bogaerts SS
  3. 3 Manny Machado 3B
  4. 4 Gavin Sheets 1B
  5. 5 Fernando Tatis Jr. RF
  6. 6 Miguel Andujar DH
  7. 7 Ramon Laureano LF
  8. 8 Freddy Fermin C
  9. 9 Sung-Mun Song 2B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

STL Away SD Home
Team OPS 0.629 0.686
Bullpen FIP 3.97 3.44
Run Diff / 10G +1.5 -0.6
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -4 4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
STL -5.5 (-150)
SD +5.5 (+115)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (-109)
Under 9.5 (-119)
Moneyline
STL -10000
SD +1580

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

STL โ€” Away
Michael McGreevy Michael McGreevy SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
52 ยท OVER
SD โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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