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MLB Matchup Intelligence

TOR vs
DET

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers

May 17, 2026 ยท 1:40 PM ET ยท Comerica Park
TOR 79-83  ยท  DET 76-86

๐Ÿ Final: TOR 4, DET 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Toronto Blue Jays
Confidence 72%
Projected Score TOR 4 ยท DET 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

DET Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries TOR (Dylan Cease) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR SP quality edge (FIP 3.96 vs 5.00) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET TOR SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Recent run diff (+3.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TOR โ€” Away RHP
Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman
ERA4.51
WHIP1.27
FIP3.73
K/99.3
K/BB7.0
Road ERA: 5.68
vs
DET โ€” Home RHP
Jack Flaherty
Jack Flaherty
ERA4.48
WHIP1.39
FIP3.82
K/910.5
K/BB6.2
Home ERA: 5.25

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TOR โ€” Away
  1. 1 Yohendrick Pinango LF
  2. 2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. DH
  3. 3 Daulton Varsho CF
  4. 4 Jesus Sanchez RF
  5. 5 Lenyn Sosa 1B
  6. 6 Ernie Clement 3B
  7. 7 Andres Gimenez SS
  8. 8 Brandon Valenzuela C
  9. 9 Davis Schneider 2B
DET โ€” Home
  1. 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
  2. 2 Dillon Dingler C
  3. 3 Colt Keith DH
  4. 4 Riley Greene LF
  5. 5 Matt Vierling CF
  6. 6 Gage Workman 3B
  7. 7 Zach McKinstry 2B
  8. 8 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  9. 9 Wenceel Perez RF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TOR Away DET Home
Team OPS 0.649 0.694
Bullpen FIP 4.49 4.74
Run Diff / 10G +0.4 -2.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TOR -2.5 (-386)
DET +2.5 (+271)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+265)
Under 5.5 (-377)
Moneyline
TOR -10000
DET +1320

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

TOR โ€” Away
Kevin Gausman Kevin Gausman SP
Pitcher Ks
5.5
57 ยท OVER
DET โ€” Home
Jack Flaherty Jack Flaherty SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
53 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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