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MLB Final Intelligence

NYY 93-68
3 – 5
FINAL
ARI 86-76

New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks β€” Recap

September 19, 2026  Β· Chase Field  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks completed a comeback victory, capped by a walk-off home run, to defeat the New York Yankees. The Diamondbacks erased a one-run deficit in the ninth inning, securing an unexpected win against a New York squad favored in pregame markets.

The Yankees initially broke the scoreless tie in the fifth inning when Rice’s sacrifice fly brought home Volpe. Arizona quickly answered in the bottom of the frame, as Lawlar’s triple to center field drove in Arenado and Tawa, giving the Diamondbacks a 2-1 lead. New York recaptured the lead in the sixth with back-to-back solo home runs from Ramos and Wells, but Arizona responded yet again, tying the game at 3-3 on a sacrifice fly from Carroll later that inning.

Despite a dominant outing from New York starter Cam Schlittler, who allowed just one earned run over six innings while striking out six, the game ultimately turned in the ninth. After the Yankees failed to score in the top half, Arizona's offense delivered the decisive blow. Pavin Smith stepped to the plate with a runner on and launched a two-run home run to right-center field, securing the walk-off victory for the Diamondbacks.

The Diamondbacks’ resilient offense, particularly their ability to respond to New York’s scoring and their late-game heroics, proved to be the difference against a strong Yankees pitching performance. Arizona improved to 81-74, while New York fell to 89-65.

#MLB #Diamondbacks #Yankees #PavinSmith

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the New York Yankees (-149, 57% implied) over the Arizona Diamondbacks. Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 5–3, pulling off the upset.

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model favored the New York Yankees (72% confidence). Final: the Arizona Diamondbacks won 5–3, missing the call.

Player of the Game

Pavin Smith
At the Plate
1 AB, 1 H, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Cam Schlittler
On the Mound
6.0 IP, 6 K, 1 ER

Linescore

123456789 RHE
NYY 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 61
ARI 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 2 5 70

Pitching

Pitcher Team IP H R ER BB K ERA
Cam Schlittler 6.0 3 3 1 3 6 1.94
Brandon Pfaadt 4.1 4 1 1 1 3 3.72
Brandyn Garcia 1.2 0 0 0 1 1 1.88
Juan Morillo W 1.1 0 0 0 1 1 2.19
Paul Blackburn 1.1 2 0 0 0 2 1.63
Kevin Ginkel 1.0 2 2 2 0 1 4.31
Justin Martinez 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
Brent Headrick 0.2 1 0 0 0 1 1.89
Michael Fulmer L 0.1 1 2 2 1 1 3.09

Batting

Batter Team AB H HR RBI R BB K
Austin Wells 3 2 1 1 1 1 0
Nolan Arenado 4 2 0 0 1 0 1
Jose Caballero 2 2 0 0 0 1 0
Pavin Smith 1 1 1 2 1 0 0
Heliot Ramos 4 1 1 1 1 0 1
Jordan Lawlar 4 1 0 2 0 0 1
Gabriel Moreno 3 1 0 0 0 1 0
Geraldo Perdomo 4 1 0 0 0 0 1
Ildemaro Vargas 1 1 0 0 1 1 0
Anthony Volpe 4 1 0 0 1 0 1

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