NBA Final Intelligence

CLE 4-3
116 – 124
FINAL
OKC 5-2

Cleveland Cavaliers 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 124 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Oklahoma City Thunder defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 124-116 on the strength of a dominant opening period that staked the hosts to a 37-20 lead after the first quarter. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led all scorers with 42 points, adding 8 assists and 5 made three-pointers on 11-of-26 shooting to keep the Thunder ahead. Ajay Mitchell contributed heavily to the early surge and finished with 23 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 assists.

Cleveland attempted to chip away at the deficit as the game progressed, outscoring Oklahoma City 24-23 in the second quarter and 30-28 in the third. Donovan Mitchell paced the Cavaliers with 27 points, 6 assists, and 5 threes on 10-of-17 shooting. James Harden added 19 points and 9 rebounds, while Evan Mobley recorded a double-double with 16 points and 10 rebounds.

The Cavaliers made a strong push in the final period, winning the fourth quarter 42-36, but the early hole proved too deep to overcome. SportsFBI's pregame model had leaned toward Oklahoma City at 74%, a probabilistic projection borne out by the wire-to-wire victory.

#Thunder #Cavaliers #NBA #Basketball

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Oklahoma City Thunder (74% confidence). It gave a 18% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 8 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · OKC -3.5 OKC covered Won by 8
Total · 226.5 Over 240 combined
Moneyline CLE +144 · OKC -172 OKC favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (OKC) -2.5-3.5 -1
Total 228.5226.5 -2
Moneyline (OKC) -130-172 -42

Standouts

Top Scorer · OKC
42 PTS, 4 REB, 8 AST, 5 3PM · 11-26 FG
Scoring · CLE
27 PTS, 3 REB, 6 AST, 5 3PM · 10-17 FG
Scoring · OKC
23 PTS, 7 REB, 4 AST, 1 3PM · 9-17 FG
Season highs
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · Season-high 5 threesBennett Stirtz · Season-high 4 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

CLE 0 largest lead Never led · 12-0 run, Q2 0:00–Q3 9:37
OKC 25 largest lead Q2 6:01 (CLE 25, OKC 50) · 15-0 run, Q1 7:58–Q1 3:55
Swings 0 lead changes Tied 0 times

Linescore

1234 T
CLE 20243042 116
OKC 37232836 124

🧮 How They Scored

CLEOKC
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
53.2%Effective FG%54.5%
10.6%Turnover %8.7%
20.4%Offensive rebound %18.6%
0.204Free-throw rate0.393

Box Score

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
James Harden G 3519960235-163-86-60
Donovan Mitchell G 33273610210-175-102-2+1
Evan Mobley F-C 33161030327-151-51-2-1
Sam Merrill G 2710711103-72-42-2-5
Mario Hezonja F 2312810025-102-60-0-8
Tyrese Proctor G 2211101004-72-31-1-2
Meleek Thomas G 189101023-93-70-0-9
Tristan Enaruna F 164411002-70-30-0-1
Craig Porter G 140111110-00-00-0-2
Thomas Bryant C 138000001-41-35-6-5
Jarrett Allen C 70100000-10-00-0-8

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G 35424801411-265-1115-19+5
Ajay Mitchell G 3223741019-171-34-6+2
Kenrich Williams G-F 2913420015-93-50-0-4
Micah Peavy G-F 272911011-60-20-0+5
Isaiah Hartenstein F-C 2631242001-20-01-2+3
Aday Mara C 259520304-60-01-2+6
Jared McCain G 259101023-111-62-2+2
Bennett Stirtz G 2216112006-94-70-0+5
Alex Caruso G 207430011-31-24-4+16
Josh Dix SG 00000000-00-00-00

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC Points31.542 Over
Rebounds4.54 Under
Assists6.58 Over
3-pointers2.55 Over
Donovan Mitchell CLE Points21.527 Over
Rebounds4.53 Under
Assists5.56 Over
3-pointers2.55 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast31.536 Over
Ajay Mitchell OKC Points18.523 Over
Rebounds3.57 Over
Assists3.54 Over
3-pointers1.51 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast26.534 Over
James Harden CLE Points16.519 Over
Rebounds4.59 Over
Assists6.56 Under
3-pointers2.53 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast28.534 Over
Evan Mobley CLE Points15.516 Over
Rebounds8.510 Over
Assists3.53 Under
3-pointers1.51 Under
Pts + Reb24.526 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast28.529 Over
Kenrich Williams OKC Points8.513 Over
Rebounds4.54 Under
3-pointers1.53 Over
Pts + Reb13.517 Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series CLE 0 – 2 OKC
Last 14 meetings · since 2020-21 CLE 5 – 9 OKC
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Cleveland Cavaliers 4-4 L2 L10 4-4 Next game: vs PHI · Fri, Nov 6
Oklahoma City Thunder 6-2 W2 L10 6-2 Next game: @ MEM · Fri, Nov 6

🔍 Key Suspects Results

4 of 7 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

CLE — Away
Sam Merrill Sam Merrill G Rebounds 2.5 OVER HIT Actual 7
Jarrett Allen Jarrett Allen C Rebounds 8.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Mario Hezonja F Points 9.5 UNDER MISS Actual 12
OKC — Home
Aday Mara C Rebounds 6 MISS Actual 5
Jared McCain Jared McCain G Threes 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
Ajay Mitchell Ajay Mitchell G Rebounds 3.5 OVER HIT Actual 7
Alex Caruso Alex Caruso G Pts+Reb 11.5 OVER MISS Actual 11

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