NBA Final Intelligence

GSW 8-3
108 – 115
FINAL
HOU 8-3

Golden State Warriors 108, Houston Rockets 115 — Recap

 · Recap published  · View Preview

📰Game Recap

The Houston Rockets defeated the Golden State Warriors 115-108, validating SportsFBI's pregame model that gave Houston a 69% probability of winning. Houston seized control immediately in the opening quarter by outscoring Golden State 35-20. The Rockets were propelled by balanced production, featuring Kevin Durant with 20 points, 4 rebounds, and 5 assists on 8-of-17 shooting, alongside Alperen Sengun, who tallied 19 points, 13 rebounds, and 9 assists on an 8-of-14 shooting clip, and Amen Thompson, who added 19 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 assists on 8-of-11 shooting.

Golden State responded in the second quarter, trimming the deficit by winning the frame 31-21 to head into halftime down by only five points. Yaxel Lendeborg led the Warriors with a game-high 25 points and 10 rebounds while shooting 9-of-19, including 2-of-2 from beyond the arc. Brandin Podziemski supported the effort with 22 points, 6 rebounds, and 4 assists, hitting four 3-pointers on 7-of-15 shooting.

Both teams traded offensive output after the break as Houston edged the third quarter 29-28. The Rockets maintained their narrow advantage by matching Golden State 30-29 in the final period, sealing the seven-point victory. Despite the Warriors outscoring the Rockets across the final three quarters combined, Houston's dominant first-quarter surge proved decisive.

#Rockets #Warriors #NBAScore #Basketball

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Houston Rockets (69% confidence). It gave a 15% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 7 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · HOU -6.5 HOU covered Won by 7
Total · 220.5 Over 223 combined
Moneyline GSW +210 · HOU -255 HOU favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (HOU) -5.5-6.5 -1
Total 223.5220.5 -3
Moneyline (HOU) -215-255 -40

Standouts

Top Scorer · GSW
25 PTS, 10 REB, 0 AST, 2 3PM · 9-19 FG
Scoring · GSW
22 PTS, 6 REB, 4 AST, 4 3PM · 7-15 FG
Scoring · HOU
20 PTS, 4 REB, 5 AST, 1 3PM · 8-17 FG
Season highs
Alperen Sengun · Season-high 13 rebounds

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

GSW 0 largest lead Never led · 6-0 run, Q2 9:01–Q2 7:43
HOU 21 largest lead Q4 3:32 (GSW 90, HOU 111) · 9-0 run, Q4 6:00–Q4 3:32
Swings 0 lead changes Tied 2 times

Ahead for good: Kevin Durant makes 13-foot pullup jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists) (Q1 10:06, GSW 5, HOU 7).

Linescore

1234 T
GSW 20312829 108
HOU 35212930 115

🧮 How They Scored

GSWHOU
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
50.6%Effective FG%58.0%
11.6%Turnover %10.3%
34.0%Offensive rebound %22.0%
0.295Free-throw rate0.218

Box Score

Golden State Warriors

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Brandin Podziemski G 3722642017-154-114-5-17
Yaxel Lendeborg F 36251002029-192-75-8-15
Draymond Green F 277570113-51-10-0-20
De'Anthony Melton G 2511440123-73-72-2-5
Al Horford C-F 212140001-70-50-0-7
Georges Niang F 195500001-71-32-3-9
Will Richard G 199401023-62-31-2-2
LJ Cryer G 1813110004-93-82-2+18
Charles Bassey G 147600103-40-01-2+2
Gui Santos F 120310140-30-20-0+7
Stephen Curry G 63000011-31-20-0-9
Graham Ike F 44010001-20-12-2+11
Malevy Leons F 40300200-10-10-0+11

Houston Rockets

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Alperen Sengun F-C 37191391128-141-22-4+11
Jabari Smith Jr. F 3514801325-142-92-2+20
Kevin Durant F 3420450028-171-43-4+17
Fred VanVleet G 3018263006-94-72-2+25
Amen Thompson G-F 2919741228-110-13-5+9
Tari Eason F 226300112-110-52-2-11
Reed Sheppard G 2013111015-93-60-0-1
Marcus Smart G 176210012-22-20-0+1
Bogdan Bogdanovic G 100000000-00-00-0-9
Bruce Thornton G 30000000-00-00-0-9
Isaiah Crawford F 10000000-00-00-0-6
Oscar Tshiebwe F-C 10000000-00-00-0-6
Jae'Sean Tate F 10000000-00-00-0-6

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series GSW 0 – 1 HOU
Last 22 meetings · since 2020-21 GSW 17 – 5 HOU
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Golden State Warriors 8-4 L1 L10 8-2 Next game: @ SAS · Fri, Nov 13
Houston Rockets 9-3 W2 L10 7-3 Next game: vs UTA · Fri, Nov 13

🔍 Key Suspects Results

4 of 7 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

GSW — Away
Yaxel Lendeborg F Assists 3.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Stephen Curry Stephen Curry G Assists 4.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Georges Niang F Threes 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
De'Anthony Melton G Threes 1.5 OVER HIT Actual 3
HOU — Home
Fred VanVleet Fred VanVleet G Points 10 HIT Actual 18
Tari Eason Tari Eason F Pts+Reb+Ast 14.5 OVER MISS Actual 9
Marcus Smart Marcus Smart G Assists 1.5 OVER MISS Actual 1

Sharper Picks Start Here

Live odds, Key Suspects, player props, DFS rankings, and real-time game tracking — all in one workspace built for serious bettors and DFS players.