Spurs 121, Timberwolves 111 — NBA Recap

📰Game Recap

The San Antonio Spurs took control early and held off a Minnesota Timberwolves rally to secure a 121-111 victory, validating SportsFBI's pregame lean. Victor Wembanyama led the charge for the Spurs with a dominant scoring performance. San Antonio established a lead in the first quarter, outscoring Minnesota 34-28, with Wembanyama contributing significantly. The Timberwolves, however, responded in the second quarter, narrowing the deficit by outscoring the Spurs 33-26, fueled by Ayo Dosunmu's offensive efforts.

Coming out of halftime, the Spurs reasserted their offensive rhythm. Wembanyama continued to be a focal point, supported by strong outings from Dylan Harper and De'Aaron Fox. San Antonio outpaced Minnesota 33-27 in the third quarter, rebuilding their advantage and setting the stage for the final period. The Timberwolves' Jonathan Kuminga worked to keep his team in contention, but San Antonio's collective offensive output proved difficult to contain.

The Spurs maintained their momentum through the fourth quarter, extending their lead further with a 28-23 advantage in the period. Wembanyama finished with a game-high 43 points, grabbing 7 rebounds and dishing out 4 assists, making 3 three-pointers on 17-of-34 shooting. Harper added 25 points, 7 rebounds, and 6 assists, while Fox contributed 22 points, 8 rebounds, and 7 assists on efficient 8-of-10 shooting. For the Timberwolves, Dosunmu tallied 27 points, 9 rebounds, and 3 assists, and Kuminga finished with 19 points and 6 rebounds, but it was not enough to overcome San Antonio's balanced attack.

#SpursWin #Timberwolves #VictorWembanyama #NBAGameRecap

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the San Antonio Spurs (58% confidence). It gave a 12% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 10 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · SAS -12.5 MIN covered Won by 10

Total · 229.5 Over 232 combined

Moneyline MIN +460 · SAS -620 SAS favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (SAS) -11.5-12.5 -1

Total 226.5229.5 +3

Moneyline (SAS) -520-620 -100

Standouts

Top Scorer · SAS

Victor Wembanyama

43 PTS, 7 REB, 4 AST, 3 3PM · 17-34 FG

Scoring · MIN

Ayo Dosunmu

27 PTS, 9 REB, 3 AST, 2 3PM · 11-17 FG

Scoring · SAS

Dylan Harper

25 PTS, 7 REB, 6 AST, 2 3PM · 9-17 FG

Season highs

Victor Wembanyama · Season-high 43 pointsAyo Dosunmu · Season-high 27 pointsDylan Harper · Season-high 25 pointsDe'Aaron Fox · Season-high 22 points

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

MIN 7 largest lead Q2 1:33 (MIN 61, SAS 54) · 16-0 run, Q2 8:35–Q2 4:12

SAS 13 largest lead Q4 10:34 (MIN 88, SAS 101) · 10-0 run, Q1 10:48–Q1 7:59

Swings 8 lead changes Tied 7 times

Ahead for good: Devin Vassell makes free throw 2 of 2 (Q3 10:06, MIN 63, SAS 64).

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
MIN	28	33	27	23		111
SAS	34	26	33	28		121

🧮 How They Scored

MINSAS

52Points in the paint60

20Fast-break points13

22Second-chance points18

29Points off turnovers18

24Bench points22

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

47.8%Effective FG%55.2%

11.8%Turnover %13.0%

28.3%Offensive rebound %39.0%

0.280Free-throw rate0.356

🎯 Shot Chart

Minnesota Timberwolves40/93 FG

68%Restricted Area23 of 34
18%Paint (non-RA)3 of 17
56%Mid-Range5 of 9
29%Left Corner 32 of 7
67%Right Corner 32 of 3
22%Above-break 35 of 23

San Antonio Spurs43/87 FG

68%Restricted Area26 of 38
44%Paint (non-RA)4 of 9
23%Mid-Range3 of 13
100%Left Corner 32 of 2
33%Right Corner 31 of 3
32%Above-break 37 of 22

● made · ✕ missed, from the official shot log.

Box Score

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Jonathan Kuminga F	40	19	6	3	0	1	0	8-19	2-6	1-1	0
Jaden McDaniels F	39	19	3	3	2	0	2	7-17	2-5	3-4	-1
Ayo Dosunmu G	38	27	9	3	3	0	3	11-17	2-5	3-3	+1
Joan Beringer F	35	12	6	2	1	0	0	4-8	0-0	4-5	-7
Jaylen Clark G	20	10	2	1	0	1	0	3-6	2-4	2-2	-2
LaMelo Ball G	20	10	8	4	3	0	5	2-10	0-4	6-6	-9
Terrence Shannon Jr. G-F	18	2	3	4	0	0	0	1-8	0-4	0-1	-13
Trey Lyles F	17	6	0	0	0	0	3	1-3	1-3	3-4	-9
Nah'Shon Hyland G	14	6	1	3	2	0	1	3-5	0-2	0-0	-10

San Antonio Spurs

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Dylan Harper G	39	25	7	6	1	0	2	9-17	2-5	5-6	+10
De'Aaron Fox G	35	22	8	7	0	1	4	8-10	0-1	6-7	+23
Victor Wembanyama F-C	34	43	7	4	1	6	3	17-34	3-8	6-9	+11
Devin Vassell G-F	34	9	5	2	2	1	2	2-6	0-1	5-6	+1
Julian Champagnie F	27	12	3	1	1	0	0	3-7	3-7	3-3	+3
Keldon Johnson F	24	2	6	0	0	0	0	1-3	0-0	0-0	+9
Stephon Castle G	22	0	5	4	1	0	3	0-4	0-2	0-0	-2
Luke Kornet F-C	14	2	8	0	0	1	0	1-2	0-0	0-0	-1
Carter Bryant F	11	6	0	0	0	0	1	2-4	2-3	0-0	-4

🔬 Advanced Stats

Minnesota TimberwolvesTS% true shooting · USG% usage · NET net rating · PIE player impact

Player	Role	MIN	PTS	TS%	USG%	NET	PIE
Ayo Dosunmu	Starter	37:49	27	73.7	21.9	+2.6	19.3
Jaden McDaniels	Starter	38:38	19	50.6	21.0	-4.0	8.0
Jonathan Kuminga	Starter	39:44	19	48.9	19.4	0.0	9.8
Joan Beringer	Starter	34:28	12	58.8	11.6	-11.5	6.7
LaMelo Ball	Starter	20:03	10	39.6	34.6	-21.4	6.6
Jaylen Clark	Bench	20:20	10	72.7	14.3	-7.4	10.7
Nah'Shon Hyland	Bench	13:47	6	60.0	18.2	-33.3	9.6
Trey Lyles	Bench	16:46	6	63.0	17.8	-26.6	0.0
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Bench	18:25	2	11.8	17.8	-30.2	0.0
Cody Williams	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Zyon Pullin	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Isaiah Evans	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

San Antonio SpursTS% true shooting · USG% usage · NET net rating · PIE player impact

Player	Role	MIN	PTS	TS%	USG%	NET	PIE
Victor Wembanyama	Starter	33:45	43	56.6	50.0	+15.5	23.4
Dylan Harper	Starter	38:45	25	63.6	23.7	+11.0	16.7
De'Aaron Fox	Starter	34:57	22	84.1	20.0	+30.7	18.0
Devin Vassell	Starter	33:41	9	52.1	13.2	+1.5	8.9
Stephon Castle	Starter	22:10	0	0.0	12.7	-2.1	-2.2
Julian Champagnie	Bench	26:58	12	72.1	11.8	+11.5	6.0
Carter Bryant	Bench	11:03	6	75.0	16.1	-16.7	5.1
Luke Kornet	Bench	14:15	2	50.0	5.4	-7.4	12.4
Keldon Johnson	Bench	24:26	2	33.3	4.5	+14.7	2.0
Harrison Barnes	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Jordan McLaughlin	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
David Jones	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Tarris Reed Jr.	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

Player	Prop	Line	Actual	Result
Victor Wembanyama SAS	Points	24.5	43	Over
	Rebounds	11.5	7	Under
	Assists	2.5	4	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	3	Over
	Reb + Ast	14.5	11	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	38.5	54	Over
Ayo Dosunmu MIN	Points	14.5	27	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	9	Over
	Assists	3.5	3	Under
	3-pointers	1.5	2	Over
	Pts + Reb	19.5	36	Over
	Reb + Ast	8.5	12	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	23.5	39	Over
Dylan Harper SAS	Points	16.5	25	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	7	Over
	Assists	4.5	6	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	2	Over
	Pts + Reb	21.5	32	Over
	Reb + Ast	9.5	13	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	26.5	38	Over
De'Aaron Fox SAS	Points	15.5	22	Over
	Rebounds	3.5	8	Over
	Assists	6.5	7	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	0	Under
	Pts + Reb	19.5	30	Over
	Reb + Ast	9.5	15	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	25.5	37	Over
Jaden McDaniels MIN	Points	16.5	19	Over
	Rebounds	5.5	3	Under
	Assists	2.5	3	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	2	Over
	Pts + Reb	22.5	22	Under
	Reb + Ast	8.5	6	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	25.5	25	Under
Jonathan Kuminga MIN	Points	13.5	19	Over
	Rebounds	5.5	6	Over
	Assists	2.5	3	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	2	Over
	Reb + Ast	7.5	9	Over