Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Arizona Cardinals face Dallas Cowboys in Week 8 at AT&T Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Arizona Cardinals enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 21.0 points scored and 29.7 allowed.
Dallas Cowboys enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 25.2 points scored and 26.5 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Arizona Cardinals’s 21.0 points per game against a Dallas Cowboys defense allowing 26.5. In the other direction, Dallas Cowboys average 25.2 against Arizona Cardinals’s 29.7 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Arizona Cardinals have injury designations to monitor: Andrew Wingard (S) — Questionable; Wydett Williams Jr. (S) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Dallas Cowboys have injury designations to monitor: DeMarvion Overshown (LB) — Questionable; KaVontae Turpin (WR) — Questionable; Dee Winters (LB) — Doubtful. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Dallas Cowboys are Home field / environment; Red-zone TD efficiency.
The strongest model adjustments toward Arizona Cardinals are Recent form; OL vs DL matchup.
The current model leans toward DAL at 53.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Arizona Cardinals 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Dallas Cowboys 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
DALH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
DAL home field | DAL 14 days / ARI 14 days
DALH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.48 Strong
77% / 71% allowed | 48% / 76% allowed
ARIA Recent form +0.45 Moderate
DAL L2 · ARI W1
DALH Starting QB efficiency +0.29 Weak
Dak Prescott (2026) 66.3% CMP / 6.7 Y/A / 4.1% TD / 2.0% INT / 90.1 RATE · Jacoby Brissett (2026) 66.7% CMP / 5.7 Y/A / 3.8% TD / 2.6% INT / 83.4 RATE
DALH Raw scoring differential +0.24 Moderate
DAL 25.2 PPG · ARI 21.0 PPG | DAL 26.5 PA/G · ARI 29.7 PA/G
ARIA OL vs DL matchup +0.23 Weak
DAL OL sack 2.8% / DEF sack 4.2% | ARI 4.9% / 7.5%
DALH Game-script tendencies +0.23 Weak
62% neutral pass / 60 plays | 56% / 66
ARIA Pass defense +0.21 Weak
DAL 7.4 net Y/A / 68.5% CMP / 110.2 RATE | ARI 7.4 / 65.7% / 116.5
ARIA Turnover differential +0.15 Moderate
DAL 1.2 GIVE / 0.5 TAKE | ARI 1.0 / 1.3
ARIA Schedule strength +0.12 Weak
DAL 44% opp wins · ARI 50%
DALH Early-down efficiency +0.10 Weak
49% / 47% allowed | 47% / 45% allowed
DALH Explosive-play differential +0.08 Weak
5% / 8% allowed | 3% / 6% allowed
ARIA Third-down efficiency +0.06 Weak
DAL OFF 47.2% / DEF 54.7% | ARI 39.3% / 41.8% | PBP 80%/44%/30% | 69%/42%/23%
DALH Run-game matchup +0.03 Weak
DAL 3.7 rush Y/A / 4.7 allowed | ARI 3.7 / 4.4 | PBP 80% stuff avoided | 77% stuff avoided
ARIA Special teams efficiency +0.03 Weak
DAL FG 75.0% / NET PUNT 44.1 | ARI 87.5% / 40.5
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