Tanner McKee
Jayden Daniels
NFL · MATCHUP INTELLIGENCE
November 1, 2026 · 8:20 PM ET
Eagles vs Commanders
Northwest Stadium
PHI 2-4 · WSH 1-4
Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Philadelphia Eagles face Washington Commanders in Week 8 at Northwest Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Philadelphia Eagles enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 17.7 points scored and 22.8 allowed. Their current streak is 4 losses.
Washington Commanders enter with a 1-4-1 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.0 points scored and 28.7 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Philadelphia Eagles’s 17.7 points per game against a Washington Commanders defense allowing 28.7. In the other direction, Washington Commanders average 22.0 against Philadelphia Eagles’s 22.8 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Philadelphia Eagles have injury designations to monitor: Saquon Barkley (RB) — Questionable; Nolan Smith Jr. (LB) — Questionable; Michael Carter II (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Washington Commanders have injury designations to monitor: Javon Kinlaw (DT) — Questionable; Marcus Mariota (QB) — Doubtful; Charles Omenihu (DE) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Washington Commanders are Home field / environment; Recent form.
The strongest model adjustments toward Philadelphia Eagles are Red-zone TD efficiency; Third-down efficiency.
The current model leans toward WSH at 53.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Philadelphia Eagles 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Washington Commanders 1-4-1
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
WSHH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
WSH home field | WSH 13 days / PHI 14 days
PHIA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.46 Strong
56% / 77% allowed | 63% / 54% allowed
WSHH Recent form +0.45 Moderate
WSH L1 · PHI L4
PHIA Third-down efficiency +0.37 Moderate
WSH OFF 30.9% / DEF 44.4% | PHI 37.3% / 38.9% | PBP 63%/39%/21% | 47%/61%/27%
WSHH Run-game matchup +0.36 Weak
WSH 4.6 rush Y/A / 4.0 allowed | PHI 3.7 / 4.0 | PBP 81% stuff avoided | 73% stuff avoided
WSHH Explosive-play differential +0.36 Weak
6% / 6% allowed | 4% / 5% allowed
PHIA Record quality +0.33 Moderate
WSH 1-4 · PHI 2-4
PHIA Pass defense +0.32 Weak
WSH 6.6 net Y/A / 66.2% CMP / 105.0 RATE | PHI 6.5 / 60.4% / 88.2
WSHH OL vs DL matchup +0.22 Weak
WSH OL sack 6.5% / DEF sack 4.8% | PHI 7.4% / 3.6%
WSHH Starting QB efficiency +0.22 Weak
Jayden Daniels (2026) 64.7% CMP / 6.5 Y/A / 4.3% TD / 0.0% INT / 97.6 RATE · Tanner McKee (2026) 57.8% CMP / 4.8 Y/A / 2.2% TD / 0.0% INT / 77.5 RATE
WSHH Turnover differential +0.18 Moderate
WSH 0.3 GIVE / 1.3 TAKE | PHI 0.8 / 0.5
PHIA Early-down efficiency +0.15 Weak
41% / 48% allowed | 37% / 42% allowed
WSHH Schedule strength +0.13 Weak
WSH 51% opp wins · PHI 45%
PHIA Game-script tendencies +0.10 Weak
52% neutral pass / 61 plays | 56% / 55
PHIA Raw scoring differential +0.07 Weak
WSH 22.0 PPG · PHI 17.7 PPG | WSH 28.7 PA/G · PHI 22.8 PA/G
PHIA Special teams efficiency +0.03 Weak
WSH FG 83.3% / NET PUNT 44.2 | PHI 100.0% / 44.1
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