Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Los Angeles Chargers face Los Angeles Rams in Week 8 at SoFi Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Los Angeles Chargers enter with a 0-6 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 15.0 points scored and 25.2 allowed. Their current streak is 6 losses.
Los Angeles Rams enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.5 points scored and 23.0 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Los Angeles Chargers’s 15.0 points per game against a Los Angeles Rams defense allowing 23.0. In the other direction, Los Angeles Rams average 22.5 against Los Angeles Chargers’s 25.2 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Los Angeles Chargers have injury designations to monitor: Joe Alt (OT) — Questionable; Kayode Awosika (G) — Questionable; Tre' Harris (WR) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Los Angeles Rams have injury designations to monitor: Trent McDuffie (CB) — Questionable; Justin Dedich (G) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Los Angeles Rams are Starting QB efficiency; Home field / environment.
The strongest model adjustments toward Los Angeles Chargers are Special teams efficiency; Turnover differential.
The current model leans toward LAR at 63.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Los Angeles Chargers 0-6
- 🏈 Record: Los Angeles Rams 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
LARH Starting QB efficiency +1.0 Moderate
Matthew Stafford (2026) 65.9% CMP / 7.2 Y/A / 4.4% TD / 2.4% INT / 91.7 RATE · Justin Herbert (2026) 59.4% CMP / 6.3 Y/A / 2.8% TD / 4.4% INT / 68.8 RATE
LARH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
LAR home field | LAR 14 days / LAC 14 days
LARH Record quality +0.67 Strong
LAR 2-4 · LAC 0-6
LARH Pass defense +0.66 Moderate
LAR 5.3 net Y/A / 57.5% CMP / 77.2 RATE | LAC 6.8 / 66.7% / 90.7
LARH Early-down efficiency +0.63 Moderate
51% / 44% allowed | 40% / 40% allowed
LARH Recent form +0.60 Strong
LAR L2 · LAC L6
LARH OL vs DL matchup +0.42 Weak
LAR OL sack 3.8% / DEF sack 4.2% | LAC 10.4% / 6.0%
LARH Explosive-play differential +0.36 Weak
6% / 4% allowed | 5% / 5% allowed
LARH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.24 Moderate
63% / 50% allowed | 50% / 48% allowed
LARH Game-script tendencies +0.19 Weak
60% neutral pass / 65 plays | 43% / 56
LARH Raw scoring differential +0.18 Weak
LAR 22.5 PPG · LAC 15.0 PPG | LAR 23.0 PA/G · LAC 25.2 PA/G
LARH Run-game matchup +0.12 Weak
LAR 4.6 rush Y/A / 4.4 allowed | LAC 4.2 / 4.0 | PBP 84% stuff avoided | 83% stuff avoided
LACA Special teams efficiency +0.11 Weak
LAR FG 60.0% / NET PUNT 41.5 | LAC 81.8% / 43.3
LARH Third-down efficiency +0.10 Weak
LAR OFF 44.0% / DEF 32.9% | LAC 34.1% / 31.1% | PBP 73%/38%/22% | 70%/36%/26%
LACA Turnover differential +0.06 Weak
LAR 1.5 GIVE / 1.0 TAKE | LAC 2.5 / 1.7
LACA Schedule strength +0.03 Weak
LAR 63% opp wins · LAC 64%
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