Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Cleveland Browns face Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 8 at Acrisure Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Cleveland Browns enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 17.7 points scored and 20.3 allowed.
Pittsburgh Steelers enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.8 points scored and 21.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 wins.
The scoring matchup puts Cleveland Browns’s 17.7 points per game against a Pittsburgh Steelers defense allowing 21.3. In the other direction, Pittsburgh Steelers average 22.8 against Cleveland Browns’s 20.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Cleveland Browns have injury designations to monitor: Grant Delpit (S) — Questionable; Mason Graham (DT) — Questionable; Quinshon Judkins (RB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Pittsburgh Steelers have injury designations to monitor: Ben Skowronek (WR) — Questionable; Brandin Echols (CB) — Questionable; DeShon Elliott (S) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Pittsburgh Steelers are Home field / environment; Run-game matchup.
The strongest model adjustments toward Cleveland Browns are Starting QB efficiency; Special teams efficiency.
The current model leans toward PIT at 54.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Cleveland Browns 4-2
- 🏈 Record: Pittsburgh Steelers 4-2
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
PITH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
PIT home field | PIT 14 days / CLE 14 days
PITH Run-game matchup +0.45 Moderate
PIT 4.6 rush Y/A / 4.0 allowed | CLE 3.6 / 4.4 | PBP 77% stuff avoided | 79% stuff avoided
PITH Game-script tendencies +0.45 Moderate
64% neutral pass / 60 plays | 52% / 54
CLEA Starting QB efficiency +0.36 Weak
Aaron Rodgers (2026) 61.4% CMP / 6.4 Y/A / 5.2% TD / 2.1% INT / 88.0 RATE · Deshaun Watson (2026) 63.8% CMP / 6.7 Y/A / 4.0% TD / 1.1% INT / 92.0 RATE
CLEA Special teams efficiency +0.17 Moderate
PIT FG 76.5% / NET PUNT 46.3 | CLE 92.3% / 46.4
CLEA Explosive-play differential +0.16 Weak
6% / 8% allowed | 6% / 6% allowed
PITH Recent form +0.15 Weak
PIT W2 · CLE W1
CLEA Schedule strength +0.11 Weak
PIT 46% opp wins · CLE 52%
PITH Third-down efficiency +0.11 Weak
PIT OFF 32.9% / DEF 32.5% | CLE 30.8% / 39.1% | PBP 59%/23%/32% | 73%/43%/13%
PITH Turnover differential +0.11 Weak
PIT 1.2 GIVE / 1.7 TAKE | CLE 1.2 / 1.2
PITH Raw scoring differential +0.09 Weak
PIT 22.8 PPG · CLE 17.7 PPG | PIT 21.3 PA/G · CLE 20.3 PA/G
CLEA Pass defense +0.07 Weak
PIT 5.7 net Y/A / 61.7% CMP / 78.6 RATE | CLE 5.5 / 59.7% / 89.1
PITH OL vs DL matchup +0.05 Weak
PIT OL sack 7.5% / DEF sack 7.4% | CLE 12.1% / 8.4%
CLEA Early-down efficiency +0.05 Weak
42% / 45% allowed | 40% / 43% allowed
PITH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.02 Weak
53% / 50% allowed | 46% / 44% allowed
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