NFL Final Intelligence
Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers β Recap
October 4, 2026 Β· Levi's Stadium Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The San Francisco 49ers secured a hard-fought victory over the Denver Broncos, leveraging a decisive fourth-quarter performance to fend off a late Denver rally. After a tight contest through three quarters, San Francisco asserted its dominance in the final frame, confirming its status as the favored team in a game that saw key plays unfold rapidly down the stretch.
The game commenced with Denver taking the initial lead on a 52-yard field goal from Wil Lutz in the first quarter. San Francisco responded in the second quarter, as Eddy Pineiro split the uprights from 24 yards to tie the score heading into halftime. Emerging from the break, Brock Purdy connected with Deebo Samuel Sr. for a 1-yard touchdown pass in the third quarter, putting the 49ers ahead for the first time. Denver then narrowed the deficit early in the fourth quarter with a 40-yard field goal from Lutz, setting the stage for a tense finish.
However, San Francisco promptly extended its lead when Christian McCaffrey plunged in for a 1-yard rushing touchdown. The Broncos made a valiant push, with Bo Nix finding Jaylen Waddle for a 13-yard touchdown pass, followed by a successful two-point conversion run by Tyler Badie that pulled Denver within three points. The momentum was short-lived, though, as Purdy immediately answered with a critical 56-yard touchdown pass to George Kittle, decisively quashing Denver's comeback hopes and completing the 49ers' 14-point scoring surge in the fourth quarter.
Ultimately, the 49ersβ ability to respond with a game-sealing score after Denverβs late touchdown proved to be the difference, showcasing their composure and offensive firepower in crucial moments. San Franciscoβs victory aligned with pregame expectations, including SportsFBI's model, which heavily favored the 49ers at home. The 49ers now stand at 4-0 on the season, while the Broncos fall to 2-2.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the San Francisco 49ers (-142, 56% implied) over the Denver Broncos. Final: the San Francisco 49ers won 24β14.
SportsFBI's model favored the San Francisco 49ers (69% confidence). Final: the San Francisco 49ers won 24β14.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Quarter
The San Francisco 49ers scored 14 points in the 4th quarter β the biggest single quarter of the game.
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