NFL Final Intelligence
New York Jets vs Chicago Bears β Recap
October 4, 2026 Β· Soldier Field Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Chicago Bears secured a decisive victory over the New York Jets, largely on the strength of their ground attack and a stifling defensive effort that kept the Jets out of the end zone for much of the afternoon. This outcome aligned with pregame expectations, as Chicago was heavily favored, and SportsFBI's model, citing key injury availability, also confidently picked the Bears to win. The Bears consistently extended their lead throughout the contest, with the Jets only managing a single late touchdown that did little to impact the final result.
Chicago immediately asserted control in the first quarter when Kyle Monangai powered through for a 1-yard rushing touchdown. The Jets responded with a Jason Sanders field goal early in the second quarter, but the Bears quickly widened the gap. Cairo Santos then connected on two field goals from 30 yards each, giving Chicago a 13-3 lead at halftime. New York attempted to cut into the deficit once more in the third quarter with another Sanders field goal, making it 13-6.
Despite the Jets' effort to narrow the gap, the Bears quickly re-established their dominant position. Monangai found the end zone for his second rushing touchdown of the day in the third quarter, pushing Chicago's lead to 20-6 and effectively stifling any comeback attempt. This commanding play was central to Monangai's formidable 30-carry, 146-yard performance, which dictated the pace of the game. Quarterback Tyson Bagent managed the game effectively, completing 25 of 34 passes for 268 yards, primarily relying on targets like Rome Odunze, who hauled in six catches for 94 yards, ensuring the offense consistently moved the chains without needing to gamble. The Bears' defense held strong, yielding only New York's lone touchdown in the final quarter, a 58-yard pass from Geno Smith to Isaiah Williams, which came far too late to shift the momentum.
Ultimately, Chicago's disciplined offense, anchored by a dominant ground game and efficient passing, proved too much for the Jets to overcome. Their ability to control the clock and convert scoring opportunities while limiting their opponent was the key to a comfortable victory. The Bears now move to 3-1 on the season, while New York falls to 1-3.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Chicago Bears (-380, 76% implied) over the New York Jets. Final: the Chicago Bears won 23β12.
SportsFBI's model favored the Chicago Bears (69% confidence). Final: the Chicago Bears won 23β12.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
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