NFL Final Intelligence
Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings β Recap
October 4, 2026 Β· U.S. Bank Stadium Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Minnesota Vikings held off a determined third-quarter charge by the Miami Dolphins, leaning on a relentless kicking performance from Will Reichard to secure a narrow victory and maintain their undefeated season. Expected to win, the Vikings never found the end zone but consistently put points on the board, ultimately fending off the Dolphins.
Reichard began his scoring clinic early, converting a 47-yard field goal in the first quarter, then adding kicks of 50 and 33 yards in the second to build a 9-0 halftime lead for Minnesota. Miami finally broke its scoring drought in the third quarter with a 27-yard field goal from Riley Patterson. Reichard answered with a 41-yard make, but the Dolphins then unleashed their most potent offensive sequence. Ollie Gordon II dashed for a 12-yard rushing touchdown, and with Patterson's extra point, Miami slashed the deficit to just two points, 12-10, by the close of the third. The fourth quarter saw Reichard cap his performance with a 29-yard field goal, providing the final margin of 15-10.
Miami's 10-point outburst in the third quarter, the highest-scoring period for either team, offered a glimpse of a potential upset, largely powered by Ollie Gordon II's explosive 100 rushing yards, including the 12-yard score. However, the Dolphins struggled to find consistent success beyond that pivotal drive. For the Vikings, despite quarterback Kyler Murray completing 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards and tight end T.J. Hockenson hauling in 13 receptions for 119 yards, the offense consistently stalled inside Miami territory. This forced repeated reliance on Reichard to convert promising drives into points, a strategy that ultimately proved effective enough.
In the end, Minnesota's methodical field goal production provided just enough separation to keep the Dolphins at bay, countering Miami's brief but impactful surge. The Vikings improved their record to 4-0, while the Dolphins remained winless at 0-4.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Minnesota Vikings (-380, 76% implied) over the Miami Dolphins. Final: the Minnesota Vikings won 15β10.
SportsFBI's model favored the Minnesota Vikings (72% confidence). Final: the Minnesota Vikings won 15β10.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Quarter
The Miami Dolphins scored 10 points in the 3rd quarter β the biggest single quarter of the game.
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